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Ligue 2

Referee: M Leleu

Bastia

U S S S T

1–2

Full-time

Amiens

U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Amiens

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 33%

37%

29%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

43%

26%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

2,4

1,9

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

59% Possession 41%

12 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

1 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 10. · Amiens 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	35	19	10	6	+31	67
2	St Etienne	35	19	6	10	+18	63
3	Angers	35	18	7	10	+12	61
4	Rodez	35	15	11	9	+11	56
5	Paris FC	35	15	10	10	+8	55
6	Laval	35	14	10	11	-4	52
7	Pau FC	35	13	12	10	+6	51
8	Caen	35	15	6	14	+2	51
9	Guingamp	35	13	11	11	+6	50
10	Bastia	35	13	8	14	-4	47
11	Amiens	35	10	16	9	-3	46
12	Ajaccio	35	12	10	13	-4	46
13	Grenoble	35	11	12	12	-1	45
14	Bordeaux	35	12	9	14	-5	45
15	Annecy	35	11	9	15	-2	42
16	Dunkerque	35	11	8	16	-17	41
17	Troyes	35	8	13	14	-8	37
18	Quevilly Rouen	35	6	17	12	-3	35
19	Concarneau	35	9	8	18	-16	35
20	Valenciennes	35	4	11	20	-27	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	17	12	3	2	+15	39
2	Ajaccio	18	10	6	2	+13	36
3	Auxerre	17	10	5	2	+20	35
4	Rodez	17	9	6	2	+13	33
5	St Etienne	18	10	3	5	+10	33
6	Paris FC	18	9	4	5	+9	31
7	Caen	17	9	3	5	+9	30
8	Bordeaux	17	8	5	4	+7	29
9	Bastia	17	8	4	5	+0	28
10	Pau FC	18	7	6	5	+6	27
11	Grenoble	17	6	7	4	+3	25
12	Troyes	17	7	3	7	+3	24
13	Amiens	18	5	9	4	+1	24
14	Laval	18	6	5	7	-7	23
15	Guingamp	17	5	6	6	+4	21
16	Annecy	18	5	6	7	-4	21
17	Concarneau	18	4	5	9	-10	17
18	Quevilly Rouen	17	3	7	7	-3	16
19	Valenciennes	18	3	6	9	-10	15
20	Dunkerque	18	4	3	11	-15	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	18	9	5	4	+11	32
2	St Etienne	17	9	3	5	+8	30
3	Laval	17	8	5	4	+3	29
4	Guingamp	18	8	5	5	+2	29
5	Dunkerque	17	7	5	5	-2	26
6	Pau FC	17	6	6	5	+0	24
7	Paris FC	17	6	6	5	-1	24
8	Rodez	18	6	5	7	-2	23
9	Angers	18	6	4	8	-3	22
10	Amiens	17	5	7	5	-4	22
11	Annecy	17	6	3	8	+2	21
12	Caen	18	6	3	9	-7	21
13	Grenoble	18	5	5	8	-4	20
14	Quevilly Rouen	18	3	10	5	+0	19
15	Bastia	18	5	4	9	-4	19
16	Concarneau	17	5	3	9	-6	18
17	Bordeaux	18	4	4	10	-12	16
18	Troyes	18	1	10	7	-11	13
19	Ajaccio	17	2	4	11	-17	10
20	Valenciennes	17	1	5	11	-17	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.