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Ligue 2

Referee: P Legat

Bastia

S S S U U

1–0

Full-time

Pau FC

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Pau FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 34%

39%

28%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

28%

39%

Both score Ø 36%

28%

44%

Average goals

2,1

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

20 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 11. · Pau FC 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	18	11	6	1	+20	39
2	Bordeaux	18	9	5	4	+11	32
3	Sochaux	18	9	3	6	+11	30
4	Metz	18	8	4	6	+7	28
5	Amiens	18	8	4	6	+2	28
6	Grenoble	18	7	6	5	+1	27
7	Paris FC	18	7	6	5	+0	27
8	Caen	18	6	7	5	+2	25
9	Quevilly Rouen	18	6	7	5	+1	25
10	Valenciennes	18	6	7	5	+0	25
11	Bastia	18	7	4	7	-4	25
12	Guingamp	18	6	6	6	-1	24
13	Pau FC	18	5	7	6	-5	22
14	Annecy	18	5	6	7	-1	21
15	Laval	18	6	2	10	-8	20
16	Rodez	18	4	7	7	-6	19
17	Dijon	18	4	6	8	-2	18
18	St Etienne	18	4	6	8	-6	18
19	Niort	18	4	5	9	-13	17
20	Nimes	18	4	4	10	-9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	9	6	3	0	+10	21
2	Sochaux	9	6	2	1	+10	20
3	Bordeaux	9	6	2	1	+9	20
4	Caen	9	5	3	1	+8	18
5	Amiens	9	5	2	2	+5	17
6	Valenciennes	9	4	5	0	+4	17
7	Grenoble	9	5	2	2	+3	17
8	Bastia	9	5	1	3	+2	16
9	Metz	9	4	3	2	+3	15
10	Dijon	9	3	4	2	+3	13
11	Quevilly Rouen	9	3	4	2	+2	13
12	Pau FC	9	3	4	2	-1	13
13	Nimes	9	4	1	4	-1	13
14	St Etienne	9	3	3	3	-2	12
15	Annecy	9	3	2	4	-3	11
16	Niort	9	3	2	4	-5	11
17	Laval	9	3	1	5	-2	10
18	Guingamp	9	2	3	4	-3	9
19	Paris FC	9	2	3	4	-5	9
20	Rodez	9	1	4	4	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	9	5	3	1	+10	18
2	Paris FC	9	5	3	1	+5	18
3	Guingamp	9	4	3	2	+2	15
4	Metz	9	4	1	4	+4	13
5	Bordeaux	9	3	3	3	+2	12
6	Rodez	9	3	3	3	+1	12
7	Quevilly Rouen	9	3	3	3	-1	12
8	Amiens	9	3	2	4	-3	11
9	Annecy	9	2	4	3	+2	10
10	Sochaux	9	3	1	5	+1	10
11	Grenoble	9	2	4	3	-2	10
12	Laval	9	3	1	5	-6	10
13	Pau FC	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Bastia	9	2	3	4	-6	9
15	Valenciennes	9	2	2	5	-4	8
16	Caen	9	1	4	4	-6	7
17	St Etienne	9	1	3	5	-4	6
18	Niort	9	1	3	5	-8	6
19	Dijon	9	1	2	6	-5	5
20	Nimes	9	0	3	6	-8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.