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Championship

Referee: A Marriner

Barnsley

T U T T T

0–1

Full-time

Bournemouth

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley Bournemouth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

This season — Championship · 27/28 matches

Win Ø 29%

50%

Points per game

0,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

41%

50%

Both score Ø 46%

48%

43%

Average goals

2,1

2,4

Scored

0,6

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

31% Possession 69%

14 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

2 Corners 9

3 Offside 1

4 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Barnsley 25. · Bournemouth 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	28	18	6	4	+49	60
2	Blackburn	29	16	7	6	+19	55
3	West Brom	30	14	9	7	+16	51
4	Bournemouth	28	14	8	6	+19	50
5	QPR	28	14	6	8	+8	48
6	Coventry	28	13	7	8	+11	46
7	Middlesbrough	28	13	6	9	+7	45
8	Huddersfield	28	12	9	7	+6	45
9	Nott'm Forest	27	12	6	9	+9	42
10	Stoke	29	12	6	11	+5	42
11	Luton	26	11	7	8	+9	40
12	Preston	28	10	9	9	-1	39
13	Blackpool	28	11	6	11	-2	39
14	Sheffield United	25	11	5	9	+5	38
15	Bristol City	29	10	6	13	-12	36
16	Swansea	26	9	8	9	-1	35
17	Derby	28	8	11	9	-1	35
18	Millwall	27	8	9	10	-3	33
19	Birmingham	30	8	9	13	-15	33
20	Reading	28	9	4	15	-16	31
21	Hull	28	8	5	15	-9	29
22	Cardiff	27	6	6	15	-19	24
23	Peterboro	26	5	5	16	-30	20
24	Peterborough	26	5	5	16	-30	20
25	Barnsley	27	2	9	16	-24	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	16	11	3	2	+18	36
2	West Brom	15	9	5	1	+16	32
3	Fulham	14	9	3	2	+24	30
4	Coventry	15	9	2	4	+12	29
5	Middlesbrough	15	9	2	4	+9	29
6	Blackpool	16	8	2	6	+0	26
7	Huddersfield	13	7	4	2	+6	25
8	QPR	14	7	4	3	+6	25
9	Bournemouth	13	7	3	3	+12	24
10	Luton	13	7	3	3	+9	24
11	Stoke	15	7	3	5	+5	24
12	Preston	14	6	6	2	+4	24
13	Derby	13	6	5	2	+5	23
14	Nott'm Forest	15	7	2	6	+3	23
15	Swansea	13	6	4	3	+6	22
16	Sheffield United	12	6	2	4	+10	20
17	Bristol City	15	5	5	5	-1	20
18	Birmingham	15	5	5	5	-2	20
19	Millwall	12	5	4	3	+2	19
20	Reading	16	5	4	7	-8	19
21	Peterboro	12	4	4	4	+0	16
22	Peterborough	12	4	4	4	+0	16
23	Hull	14	4	3	7	-4	15
24	Barnsley	12	2	4	6	-7	10
25	Cardiff	12	2	1	9	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	14	9	3	2	+25	30
2	Bournemouth	15	7	5	3	+7	26
3	QPR	14	7	2	5	+2	23
4	Huddersfield	15	5	5	5	+0	20
5	Nott'm Forest	12	5	4	3	+6	19
6	Blackburn	13	5	4	4	+1	19
7	West Brom	15	5	4	6	+0	19
8	Stoke	14	5	3	6	+0	18
9	Sheffield United	13	5	3	5	-5	18
10	Coventry	13	4	5	4	-1	17
11	Cardiff	15	4	5	6	-9	17
12	Luton	13	4	4	5	+0	16
13	Middlesbrough	13	4	4	5	-2	16
14	Bristol City	14	5	1	8	-11	16
15	Preston	14	4	3	7	-5	15
16	Millwall	15	3	5	7	-5	14
17	Hull	14	4	2	8	-5	14
18	Blackpool	12	3	4	5	-2	13
19	Swansea	13	3	4	6	-7	13
20	Birmingham	15	3	4	8	-13	13
21	Derby	15	2	6	7	-6	12
22	Reading	12	4	0	8	-8	12
23	Barnsley	15	0	5	10	-17	5
24	Peterboro	14	1	1	12	-30	4
25	Peterborough	14	1	1	12	-30	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.