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Championship
Referee: J Busby
Cardiff
S S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Coventry
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Coventry
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
This season — Championship · 32/31 matches
Win Ø 38%
31%
45%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
63%
52%
Both score Ø 54%
53%
55%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 20. · Coventry 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 31 20 7 4 +53 67
2 Bournemouth 31 17 8 6 +23 59
3 Blackburn 33 16 9 8 +16 57
4 West Brom 33 14 10 9 +12 52
5 QPR 31 15 7 9 +11 52
6 Middlesbrough 31 15 7 9 +11 52
7 Sheffield United 30 15 6 9 +12 51
8 Preston 34 13 12 9 +2 51
9 Coventry 31 14 8 9 +11 50
10 Huddersfield 31 13 11 7 +8 50
11 Luton 30 13 8 9 +8 47
12 Nott'm Forest 30 13 7 10 +10 46
13 Stoke 31 13 7 11 +8 46
14 Blackpool 32 12 8 12 -1 44
15 Swansea 31 11 8 12 -4 41
16 Millwall 31 10 10 11 -3 40
17 Bristol City 33 11 7 15 -15 40
18 Derby 32 9 12 11 -4 39
19 Birmingham 34 9 10 15 -15 37
20 Cardiff 32 10 6 16 -10 36
21 Hull 32 9 5 18 -11 32
22 Reading 31 9 4 18 -22 31
23 Peterboro 29 5 5 19 -37 20
24 Peterborough 29 5 5 19 -37 20
25 Barnsley 31 3 9 19 -26 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff Coventry
J. Hugill 🔁
↦ M. Watters
37′
Half-time 0–0
T. Doyle 🔁
↦ E. King
55′
57′
🔁 J. Clarke-Salter
↦ M. Rose
Aden Flint 🟨
59′
Ryan Wintle 🟨
60′
65′
🔁 M. Waghorn
↦ J. Shipley
1–0 J. Bagan
W. Vaulks
72′
74′
🔁 I. Maatsen
↦ T. Kane
78′
🟨 Kyle McFadzean
M. Harris 🔁
↦ I. Davies
80′
2–0 M. Harris
J. Hugill
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Cardiff

5-3-2
25 A. Smithies G
5 A. Flint D
38 P. Ng D
2 M. McGuinness D
17 C. Drameh D
3 J. Bagan D
6 W. Vaulks M
15 R. Wintle M
32 E. King M
39 I. Davies F
23 M. Watters F
Bench (7)
9 J. Hugill
22 T. Doyle
29 M. Harris
8 J. Ralls
42 O. Denham
1 D. Phillips
10 U. Ikpeazu

Coach: S. Morison

Coventry

3-4-2-1
1 S. Moore G
5 K. McFadzean D
27 J. Bidwell M
20 T. Kane M
4 M. Rose D
15 D. Hyam D
8 J. Allen M
14 B. Sheaf M
10 C. O'Hare F
26 J. Shipley F
17 V. Gyökeres F
Bench (7)
3 J. Clarke-Salter
9 M. Waghorn
18 I. Maatsen
7 J. Jones
13 B. Wilson
30 F. Tavares
36 R. Howley

Coach: M. Robins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,91
U
3,24
B
2,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,15
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Busby · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.