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Ligue 2

Referee: M Lesage

Nimes

U S T U T

1–4

Full-time

Metz

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 33%

24%

41%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

35%

41%

Both score Ø 41%

47%

35%

Average goals

2,1

2,7

Scored

0,9

1,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nimes 18. · Metz 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	17	10	6	1	+19	36
2	Bordeaux	17	9	4	4	+11	31
3	Sochaux	17	9	3	5	+12	30
4	Amiens	17	8	3	6	+2	27
5	Grenoble	17	7	5	5	+1	26
6	Metz	17	7	4	6	+4	25
7	Caen	17	6	6	5	+2	24
8	Quevilly Rouen	17	6	6	5	+1	24
9	Valenciennes	17	6	6	5	+0	24
10	Paris FC	17	6	6	5	-1	24
11	Bastia	17	7	3	7	-4	24
12	Guingamp	17	6	5	6	-1	23
13	Pau FC	17	5	6	6	-5	21
14	Annecy	17	5	5	7	-1	20
15	Laval	17	6	2	9	-7	20
16	Dijon	17	4	6	7	-1	18
17	Rodez	17	4	6	7	-6	18
18	Nimes	17	4	4	9	-6	16
19	Niort	17	4	4	9	-13	16
20	St Etienne	17	3	6	8	-7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sochaux	9	6	2	1	+10	20
2	Bordeaux	9	6	2	1	+9	20
3	Le Havre	8	5	3	0	+9	18
4	Caen	8	5	2	1	+8	17
5	Grenoble	9	5	2	2	+3	17
6	Amiens	8	5	1	2	+5	16
7	Valenciennes	8	4	4	0	+4	16
8	Bastia	9	5	1	3	+2	16
9	Metz	9	4	3	2	+3	15
10	Dijon	9	3	4	2	+3	13
11	Nimes	8	4	1	3	+2	13
12	Quevilly Rouen	8	3	3	2	+2	12
13	Pau FC	8	3	3	2	-1	12
14	Annecy	9	3	2	4	-3	11
15	Niort	9	3	2	4	-5	11
16	Laval	9	3	1	5	-2	10
17	St Etienne	8	2	3	3	-3	9
18	Guingamp	9	2	3	4	-3	9
19	Paris FC	8	1	3	4	-6	6
20	Rodez	8	1	3	4	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	9	5	3	1	+10	18
2	Paris FC	9	5	3	1	+5	18
3	Guingamp	8	4	2	2	+2	14
4	Rodez	9	3	3	3	+1	12
5	Quevilly Rouen	9	3	3	3	-1	12
6	Bordeaux	8	3	2	3	+2	11
7	Amiens	9	3	2	4	-3	11
8	Sochaux	8	3	1	4	+2	10
9	Metz	8	3	1	4	+1	10
10	Laval	8	3	1	4	-5	10
11	Annecy	8	2	3	3	+2	9
12	Grenoble	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Pau FC	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Valenciennes	9	2	2	5	-4	8
15	Bastia	8	2	2	4	-6	8
16	Caen	9	1	4	4	-6	7
17	St Etienne	9	1	3	5	-4	6
18	Dijon	8	1	2	5	-4	5
19	Niort	8	1	2	5	-8	5
20	Nimes	9	0	3	6	-8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.