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Ligue 2

Toulouse

S S U S S

2–3

Full-time

Caen

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

2,2

0,5

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 56%

78%

33%

Points per game

2,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

44%

33%

Both score Ø 39%

44%

33%

Average goals

2,9

1,9

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

0,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

20 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

6 Corners 3

16 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 1. · Caen 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	9	7	2	0	+14	23
2	Sochaux	10	6	2	2	+5	20
3	Auxerre	10	5	4	1	+11	19
4	Ajaccio	10	5	4	1	+6	19
5	Le Havre	10	4	5	1	+4	17
6	Paris FC	10	5	1	4	+2	16
7	Pau FC	10	4	3	3	+3	15
8	Niort	10	4	3	3	+1	15
9	Nimes	10	3	4	3	+2	13
10	Rodez	10	3	4	3	-2	13
11	Quevilly Rouen	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Valenciennes	10	3	3	4	-5	12
13	Caen	9	3	2	4	+1	11
14	Guingamp	10	2	5	3	-3	11
15	Grenoble	10	3	2	5	-6	11
16	Bastia	10	2	4	4	-2	10
17	Dijon	10	3	1	6	-5	10
18	Amiens	10	1	5	4	-4	8
19	Dunkerque	10	1	3	6	-8	6
20	Nancy	10	0	4	6	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajaccio	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Auxerre	5	3	1	1	+7	10
3	Toulouse	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Niort	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Pau FC	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Grenoble	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Sochaux	5	3	1	1	+2	10
8	Le Havre	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Paris FC	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Bastia	5	1	4	0	+2	7
11	Dijon	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Caen	5	2	0	3	+2	6
13	Nimes	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Rodez	5	1	3	1	-1	6
15	Quevilly Rouen	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Valenciennes	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Guingamp	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Amiens	5	0	2	3	-4	2
19	Dunkerque	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	Nancy	5	0	2	3	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Sochaux	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Auxerre	5	2	3	0	+4	9
4	Le Havre	5	2	3	0	+3	9
5	Paris FC	6	3	0	3	+0	9
6	Guingamp	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	Valenciennes	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Nimes	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Quevilly Rouen	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Rodez	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Amiens	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Ajaccio	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Pau FC	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Caen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
15	Niort	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Dunkerque	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Dijon	4	1	0	3	-3	3
18	Bastia	5	1	0	4	-4	3
19	Nancy	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	Grenoble	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.