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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Schalke 04
S U U T T
5–2
Full-time
Hertha
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 17%
15%
19%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
52%
52%
Both score Ø 54%
44%
63%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,19 xG 1,56
52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 8
3 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 18. · Hertha 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 27 17 7 3 +48 +7.8 58
2 Dortmund 27 18 2 7 +23 +9.4 56
3 Union Berlin 27 15 6 6 +12 -3.8 51
4 RB Leipzig 27 14 6 7 +17 +6.5 48
5 Freiburg 27 13 8 6 +3 -5.1 47
6 Leverkusen 27 13 4 10 +10 +9.6 43
7 Ein Frankfurt 27 11 8 8 +8 -1.2 41
8 Mainz 27 11 8 8 +7 +2.4 41
9 Wolfsburg 27 10 9 8 +10 +6.7 39
10 M'gladbach 27 9 8 10 -2 -1.0 35
11 Werder Bremen 27 9 5 13 -10 -6.0 32
12 FC Koln 27 7 10 10 -9 -0.1 31
13 Augsburg 27 8 5 14 -15 -7.0 29
14 Hoffenheim 27 8 4 15 -9 -1.9 28
15 Bochum 27 8 2 17 -30 -6.2 26
16 Stuttgart 27 5 8 14 -15 -0.3 23
17 Hertha 27 5 7 15 -19 -6.6 22
18 Schalke 04 27 4 9 14 -29 -3.2 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Hertha
1–0 T. Skarke
3′
2–0 M. Bülter
T. Skarke
13′
26′
🔁 S. Serdar
↦ T. Ciğerci
A. Schwolow 🔁
↦ R. Fährmann
36′
40′
🟨 Kevin-Prince Boateng
Half-time 2–0
K. Karaman 🔁
↦ T. Skarke
46′
48′
S. Jovetić 2–1
3–1 S. Terodde
K. Karaman
48′
55′
🔁 J. Ngankam
↦ M. Dárdai
62′
🔁 W. Kanga
↦ K. Boateng
T. Krauß 🔁
↦ D. Drexler
65′
70′
🟨 Jessic Ngankam
J. Uronen 🔁
↦ C. Brunner
71′
4–1 M. Bülter
D. Latza
78′
84′
M. Richter 4–2
Tom Krauß 🟨
86′
Moritz Jenz 🟨
87′
91′
🟨 Filip Uremović
5–2 M. Kamiński
92′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
1 R. Fährmann G
27 C. Brunner D
25 M. Jenz D
35 M. Kamiński D
41 H. Matriciani D
8 D. Latza M
30 A. Král M
20 T. Skarke M
24 D. Drexler M
11 M. Bülter M
9 S. Terodde F
Bench (9)
13 A. Schwolow
19 K. Karaman
6 T. Krauß
18 J. Uronen
21 N. Tauer
26 M. Frey
10 R. Zalazar
2 T. Ouwejan
3 L. Greiml

Coach: T. Reis

Hertha

3-5-2
1 O. Christensen G
5 F. Uremović D
20 M. Kempf D
31 M. Dárdai D
23 M. Richter M
29 L. Tousart M
6 T. Ciğerci M
27 K. Boateng M
21 M. Plattenhardt M
14 D. Lukébakio F
19 S. Jovetić F
Bench (9)
8 S. Serdar
24 J. Ngankam
18 W. Kanga
17 M. Mittelstädt
7 F. Niederlechner
12 T. Ernst
16 J. Kenny
3 A. Rogel
34 I. Šunjić

Coach: S. Schwarz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,36
U
3,30
B
3,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,70
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.