Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Schalke 04
Hertha
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | +48 | +7.8 | 58 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
27 | 18 | 2 | 7 | +23 | +9.4 | 56 |
| 3 |
Union Berlin
|
27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | +12 | -3.8 | 51 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | +17 | +6.5 | 48 |
| 5 |
Freiburg
|
27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | +3 | -5.1 | 47 |
| 6 |
Leverkusen
|
27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | +10 | +9.6 | 43 |
| 7 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | +8 | -1.2 | 41 |
| 8 |
Mainz
|
27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | +7 | +2.4 | 41 |
| 9 |
Wolfsburg
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | +10 | +6.7 | 39 |
| 10 |
M'gladbach
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | -2 | -1.0 | 35 |
| 11 |
Werder Bremen
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -10 | -6.0 | 32 |
| 12 |
FC Koln
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -9 | -0.1 | 31 |
| 13 |
Augsburg
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -15 | -7.0 | 29 |
| 14 |
Hoffenheim
|
27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | -9 | -1.9 | 28 |
| 15 |
Bochum
|
27 | 8 | 2 | 17 | -30 | -6.2 | 26 |
| 16 |
Stuttgart
|
27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -15 | -0.3 | 23 |
| 17 |
Hertha
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -19 | -6.6 | 22 |
| 18 |
Schalke 04
|
27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -29 | -3.2 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Jenz
D
M. Kamiński
D
A. Král
M
T. Skarke
M
M. Bülter
M
Coach: T. Reis
O. Christensen
G
M. Kempf
D
M. Dárdai
D
M. Richter
M
L. Tousart
M
D. Lukébakio
F
Coach: S. Schwarz
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hoffenheim
Schalke 04
Schalke 04
Leverkusen
Augsburg
Schalke 04
Schalke 04
Dortmund
Bochum
Schalke 04
F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.