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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Fritz
1–2
Full-time
Hertha
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
50%
35%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
45%
80%
Both score Ø 55%
45%
65%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
16 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 7
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Greuther Furth 4. · Hertha 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 21 11 9 1 +19 42
2 Hamburg 21 11 4 6 +12 37
3 Holstein Kiel 20 11 3 6 +8 36
4 Greuther Furth 20 10 5 5 +8 35
5 Hannover 21 9 7 5 +12 34
6 Paderborn 21 10 4 7 +1 34
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 21 9 5 7 +14 32
8 Elversberg 21 8 5 8 -3 29
9 Nurnberg 21 8 5 8 -9 29
10 Karlsruhe 21 7 7 7 +0 28
11 Magdeburg 21 7 6 8 +3 27
12 Wehen 21 7 6 8 -2 27
13 Hertha 20 7 5 8 +4 26
14 Schalke 04 20 7 2 11 -8 23
15 Braunschweig 21 7 2 12 -12 23
16 Kaiserslautern 21 6 3 12 -9 21
17 Hansa Rostock 20 6 2 12 -14 20
18 Osnabruck 20 1 8 11 -24 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Hertha
-5′
🟨 Deyovaisio Zeefuik
21′
🟨 Marten Winkler
23′
ℹ️ Florian Niederlechner
VAR: Goal cancelled
34′
M. Kempf 0–1
P. Dárdai
39′
🔁 D. Scherhant
↦ M. Winkler
Half-time 1–1
1–1 B. Hrgota
S. Asta
56′
Gideon Jung 🟨
61′
61′
🟨 Florian Niederlechner
L. Petkov 🔁
↦ T. Lemperle
62′
63′
M. Kempf 1–2
J. Kenny
67′
🔁 T. Hoffmann
↦ M. Kempf
67′
🔁 G. Christensen
↦ P. Dárdai
D. Srbeny 🔁
↦ D. Michalski
69′
M. Meyerhöfer 🔁
↦ S. Asta
69′
Julian Green 🟨
87′
L. Popp 🔁
↦ A. Sieb
94′
K. Çalhanoğlu 🔁
↦ O. Haddadi
94′
96′
🔁 I. Maza
↦ F. Reese
100′
🟨 Florian Niederlechner
100′
🟥 Florian Niederlechner
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2
40 J. Urbig G
23 G. Jung D
4 D. Michalski D
33 M. Dietz D
2 S. Asta M
22 R. Wagner M
37 J. Green M
5 O. Haddadi M
10 B. Hrgota F
30 A. Sieb F
19 T. Lemperle F
Bench (9)
16 L. Petkov
7 D. Srbeny
18 M. Meyerhöfer
20 L. Popp
21 K. Çalhanoğlu
1 N. Körber
3 O. Mhamdi
14 J. Consbruch
13 O. Kiomourtzoglou

Coach: A. Zorniger

Hertha

4-2-3-1
12 T. Ernst G
16 J. Kenny D
41 P. Klemens D
20 M. Kempf D
6 M. Karbownik D
18 A. Barkok M
5 A. Bouchalakis M
22 M. Winkler M
27 P. Dárdai M
11 F. Reese M
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (9)
39 D. Scherhant
46 T. Hoffmann
26 G. Christensen
30 I. Maza
35 M. Gersbeck
34 D. Zeefuik
8 B. Hussein
2 P. Pekarík
19 J. Dudziak

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,96
U
3,72
B ✓
3,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Fritz · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.