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Eredivisie
Referee: E van de Graaf
Almere City
U T S U S
0–2
Full-time
Feyenoord
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almere City Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
1,7
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 53%
32%
73%
Points per game
1,2
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
55%
68%
Both score Ø 48%
41%
55%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,15 xG 0,71
40% Possession 60%
12 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 5
8 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almere City 11. · Feyenoord 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 23 21 2 0 +66 +52.6 65
2 Feyenoord 22 16 4 2 +39 +46.1 52
3 Twente 22 13 5 4 +20 +13.0 44
4 AZ Alkmaar 22 11 6 5 +20 +12.4 39
5 Ajax 22 10 6 6 +10 +7.6 36
6 Go Ahead Eagles 21 9 6 6 +8 -4.4 33
7 Nijmegen 22 8 8 6 +6 -9.1 32
8 Utrecht 23 8 8 7 -1 -7.0 32
9 Sparta Rotterdam 23 8 5 10 -4 -6.1 29
10 Zwolle 23 7 6 10 -9 -9.7 27
11 Almere City 22 7 6 9 -15 -11.3 27
12 For Sittard 23 7 6 10 -16 +0.0 27
13 Heerenveen 22 7 4 11 -10 -4.7 25
14 Heracles 23 6 4 13 -24 -19.0 22
15 Excelsior 23 4 9 10 -11 -9.7 21
16 Waalwijk 23 5 3 15 -20 -11.8 18
17 Vitesse 23 4 4 15 -29 -17.5 16
18 Volendam 22 3 4 15 -30 -21.4 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almere City Feyenoord
21′
ℹ️ Lutsharel Geertruida
VAR: Goal cancelled
Álvaro Peña 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–0
Kornelius Hansen 🟨
58′
J. van Duiven 🔁
↦ K. Hansen
60′
A. Nalić 🔁
↦ J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
60′
M. Corryn 🔁
↦ Álvaro Peña
60′
61′
🔁 Y. Minteh
↦ Igor Paixão
68′
🔁 C. Stengs
↦ R. Zerrouki
68′
🔁 A. Ueda
↦ S. Giménez
69′
🔁 A. Jahanbakhsh
↦ L. Ivanušec
72′
Y. Minteh 0–1
Q. Hartman
74′
🟨 Quinten Timber
T. Barbet 🔁
↦ L. Mbe Soh
74′
Y. Kitala 🔁
↦ R. van La Parra
79′
Adi Nalić 🟨
84′
92′
Y. Minteh 0–2
C. Stengs
Full-time 0–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
10,21
U
5,79
B ✓
1,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,33
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E van de Graaf · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.