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Premier League
Referee: D Bond
Wolves
S T S T S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
5,0
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
3,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 26%
40%
12%
Points per game
1,4
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
68%
68%
Both score Ø 64%
72%
56%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,6
2,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,31 xG 0,58
64% Possession 36%
13 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 4
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolves 11. · Sheffield United 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Liverpool 26 18 6 2 +38 +26.5 60
2 Man City 26 18 5 3 +33 +27.9 59
3 Arsenal 26 18 4 4 +39 +35.5 58
4 Aston Villa 26 16 4 6 +21 +12.1 52
5 Tottenham 25 14 5 6 +14 +0.4 47
6 Man United 26 14 2 10 +0 -2.6 44
7 Brighton 26 10 9 7 +8 +7.3 39
8 Newcastle 26 11 4 11 +9 +1.6 37
9 West Ham 25 10 6 9 -8 -12.9 36
10 Chelsea 25 10 5 10 +1 +8.9 35
11 Wolves 25 10 5 10 -1 -7.8 35
12 Fulham 26 9 5 12 -6 -13.3 32
13 Everton 26 8 7 11 -6 +2.9 31
14 Crystal Palace 26 7 7 12 -13 -7.2 28
15 Bournemouth 25 7 7 11 -14 -4.3 28
16 Brentford 25 7 4 14 -9 +3.4 25
17 Nott'm Forest 26 6 6 14 -14 -6.2 24
18 Luton 25 5 5 15 -16 -21.4 20
19 Burnley 26 3 4 19 -33 -23.8 13
20 Sheffield United 25 3 4 18 -43 -27.2 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Sheffield United
1–0 Pablo Sarabia
R. Aït-Nouri
30′
Half-time 1–0
Nélson Semedo 🟨
72′
72′
🟨 Anel Ahmedhodžić
72′
🔁 B. Osborn
↦ Y. Larouci
T. Doyle 🔁
↦ R. Aït-Nouri
77′
82′
🔁 W. Osula
↦ R. Brewster
82′
🔁 T. Davies
↦ O. Norwood
82′
🔁 O. McBurnie
↦ Vinicius Souza
J. Bellegarde 🔁
↦ Hwang Hee-Chan
85′
M. Doherty 🔁
↦ Pablo Sarabia
90′
Toti Gomes 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Wolves

3-4-2-1
1 José Sá G
23 M. Kilman D
15 C. Dawson D
24 Toti Gomes D
22 Nélson Semedo M
5 M. Lemina M
8 João Gomes M
3 R. Aït-Nouri M
21 Pablo Sarabia F
7 Pedro Neto F
11 Hwang Hee-Chan F
Bench (9)
20 T. Doyle
27 J. Bellegarde
2 M. Doherty
6 B. Traoré
62 T. Chirewa
17 Hugo Bueno
63 N. Fraser
25 D. Bentley
4 S. Bueno

Coach: G. O'Neil

Sheffield United

3-5-2
13 I. Grbić G
15 A. Ahmedhodžić D
5 A. Trusty D
19 J. Robinson D
20 J. Bogle M
16 O. Norwood M
21 Vinicius Souza M
8 G. Hamer M
27 Y. Larouci M
28 J. McAtee F
7 R. Brewster F
Bench (9)
23 B. Osborn
32 W. Osula
22 T. Davies
9 O. McBurnie
24 O. Arblaster
18 W. Foderingham
35 A. Brooks
29 S. Curtis
46 D. Sasnauskas

Coach: C. Wilder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,46
U
4,69
B
6,86
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Bond · 157 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.