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Championship

Referee: J Smith

Swansea

S U T T U

1–3

Full-time

Stoke

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Stoke

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,7

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — Championship · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%

9 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

4 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Swansea 19. · Stoke 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Luton	3	2	0	1	+5	6
2	Cardiff	3	1	2	0	+2	5
3	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	QPR	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	West Brom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Middlesbrough	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Blackburn	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Stoke	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Barnsley	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Peterboro	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Hull	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Reading	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Coventry	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Peterborough	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Millwall	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Bristol City	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Swansea	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Sheffield United	2	0	1	1	-1	1
21	Derby	3	0	1	2	-2	1
22	Blackpool	2	0	1	1	-2	1
23	Huddersfield	2	0	1	1	-4	1
24	Nott'm Forest	2	0	0	2	-2	0
25	Preston	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Luton	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Peterboro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Reading	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Peterborough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Barnsley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Blackpool	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Preston	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Hull	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Hull	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	QPR	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Luton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Derby	2	0	0	2	-2	0
24	Peterboro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.