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Championship
Referee: G Eltringham
Fulham
T T S U S
1–2
Full-time
Reading
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Championship · 23/24 matches
Win Ø 45%
52%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
61%
46%
Both score Ø 52%
57%
46%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

71% Possession 29%
20 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fulham 3. · Reading 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 25 15 6 4 +22 51
2 West Brom 25 14 9 2 +20 51
3 Fulham 23 12 5 6 +12 41
4 Nott'm Forest 24 11 7 6 +8 40
5 Millwall 26 10 10 6 +2 40
6 Sheffield Weds 25 11 6 8 +12 39
7 Preston 25 11 6 8 +6 39
8 Swansea 23 10 8 5 +6 38
9 Bristol City 25 10 8 7 +3 38
10 Hull 25 10 6 9 +5 36
11 Cardiff 24 9 9 6 +3 36
12 Blackburn 25 10 6 9 +1 36
13 Reading 24 9 5 10 +4 32
14 QPR 25 9 5 11 -9 32
15 Brentford 22 9 4 9 +11 31
16 Middlesbrough 25 7 9 9 -8 30
17 Derby 25 7 9 9 -9 30
18 Birmingham 25 8 5 12 -11 29
19 Charlton 25 7 7 11 -2 28
20 Huddersfield 25 7 7 11 -9 28
21 Stoke 25 6 3 16 -12 21
22 Barnsley 25 4 9 12 -15 21
23 Luton 26 6 3 17 -24 21
24 Wigan 25 4 8 13 -16 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fulham Reading
14′
J. Swift 0–1
T. Blackett
M. O'Riley 🔁
↦ H. Reed
19′
Joe Bryan 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–2
48′
C. Adam 0–2
O. Ejaria
Ivan Cavaleiro 🔁
↦ J. Bryan
57′
1–2 Ivan Cavaleiro
A. Knockaert
61′
Ivan Cavaleiro 🟨
62′
63′
🔁 A. Rinomhota
↦ C. Adam
68′
🟨 Pele
68′
🔁 M. Miazga
↦ Y. Meïté
Aleksandar Mitrović 🟨
73′
76′
🟨 Lucas João
L. de la Torre 🔁
↦ M. ORiley
83′
84′
🔁 S. Baldock
↦ Lucas João
Anthony Knockaert 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Michael Morrison
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Fulham

4-3-3
12 M. Rodák G
4 D. Odoi D
13 T. Ream D
22 C. Christie D
23 J. Bryan D
8 S. Johansen M
24 A. Knockaert F
14 B. Reid M
21 H. Reed M
9 A. Mitrović F
47 A. Kamara F
Bench (7)
33 M. O'Riley
19 Ivan Cavaleiro
36 L. de la Torre
1 M. Bettinelli
6 K. McDonald
5 A. Mawson
46 J. Harris

Coach: S. Parker

Reading

4-2-3-1
33 Rafael G
2 C. Gunter D
4 M. Morrison D
6 L. Moore D
24 T. Blackett D
26 C. Adam M
29 Pelé M
10 J. Swift M
19 Y. Meïté M
14 O. Ejaria M
31 Lucas João F
Bench (7)
8 A. Rinomhota
5 M. Miazga
9 S. Baldock
12 G. McCleary
18 L. Boyé
11 J. Obita
1 S. Walker

Coach: M. Bowen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,68
U
3,91
B ✓
4,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Eltringham · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.