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Eliteserien

Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner

Aalesund

S U U U T

1–1

Full-time

Viking

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Viking

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,2

3,5

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 50%

15%

85%

Points per game

0,9

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

69%

77%

Both score Ø 74%

85%

62%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

1,4

2,5

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,88 xG 2,24

39% Possession 61%

19 Shots 22

7 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 10

3 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalesund 13. · Viking 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	15	11	2	2	+26	+22.9	35
2	Viking	13	11	0	2	+20	+12.7	33
3	Tromso	15	9	4	2	+11	+8.8	31
4	Lillestrom	14	8	1	5	+8	+5.5	25
5	Molde	14	7	2	5	+6	+6.5	23
6	Sarpsborg 08	14	6	3	5	-1	+1.4	21
7	Valerenga	14	6	2	6	-2	-2.8	20
8	Brann	15	6	1	8	+5	+0.8	19
9	Ham-Kam	14	5	3	6	-6	-4.3	18
10	Rosenborg	13	4	3	6	-3	-2.0	15
11	Sandefjord	14	4	3	7	-7	-7.2	15
12	Fredrikstad	13	4	2	7	-8	-8.5	14
13	Aalesund	13	2	6	5	-10	-9.6	12
14	KFUM Oslo	14	3	3	8	-10	-9.3	12
15	Kristiansund	14	3	3	8	-11	-8.6	12
16	Start	15	2	4	9	-18	-6.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	9	6	2	1	+11	+9.9	20
2	Bodo/Glimt	7	6	0	1	+18	+17.2	18
3	Viking	6	6	0	0	+16	+6.1	18
4	Molde	7	5	0	2	+9	+3.4	15
5	Ham-Kam	7	5	0	2	+2	-2.8	15
6	Sarpsborg 08	7	4	2	1	+3	+2.1	14
7	Valerenga	7	4	1	2	+6	-0.6	13
8	Lillestrom	7	4	0	3	+5	+4.5	12
9	Rosenborg	7	3	2	2	+3	+3.3	11
10	Fredrikstad	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.6	10
11	KFUM Oslo	8	3	1	4	-2	-6.0	10
12	Brann	7	3	0	4	+0	+3.3	9
13	Sandefjord	7	2	3	2	-2	-4.2	9
14	Kristiansund	7	2	2	3	-2	-4.1	8
15	Aalesund	7	1	4	2	-2	-1.5	7
16	Start	6	1	3	2	-4	-0.4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	5	2	1	+8	+5.7	17
2	Viking	7	5	0	2	+4	+6.5	15
3	Lillestrom	7	4	1	2	+3	+1.0	13
4	Tromso	6	3	2	1	+0	-1.2	11
5	Brann	8	3	1	4	+5	-2.5	10
6	Molde	7	2	2	3	-3	+3.0	8
7	Sarpsborg 08	7	2	1	4	-4	-0.6	7
8	Valerenga	7	2	1	4	-8	-2.2	7
9	Sandefjord	7	2	0	5	-5	-3.0	6
10	Aalesund	6	1	2	3	-8	-8.1	5
11	Rosenborg	6	1	1	4	-6	-5.4	4
12	Fredrikstad	7	1	1	5	-9	-6.9	4
13	Kristiansund	7	1	1	5	-9	-4.5	4
14	Start	9	1	1	7	-14	-5.7	4
15	Ham-Kam	7	0	3	4	-8	-1.4	3
16	KFUM Oslo	6	0	2	4	-8	-3.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.