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Ligue 1

Referee: N Rainville

Nantes

T U T S T

1–0

Full-time

Bordeaux

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Bordeaux

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,0

1,2

Scored

0,7

0,5

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 30%

28%

32%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

44%

36%

Both score Ø 44%

48%

40%

Average goals

2,6

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

19 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

11 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 14. · Bordeaux 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	25	22	2	1	+63	68
2	Lille	26	15	6	5	+20	51
3	Lyon	25	13	7	5	+12	46
4	St Etienne	26	12	7	7	+5	43
5	Marseille	25	12	4	9	+6	40
6	Montpellier	25	9	11	5	+8	38
7	Reims	25	9	11	5	+1	38
8	Strasbourg	26	9	10	7	+11	37
9	Nice	26	10	7	9	-8	37
10	Rennes	25	10	6	9	+1	36
11	Nimes	26	10	6	10	-1	36
12	Angers	26	8	9	9	+0	33
13	Bordeaux	25	8	8	9	-1	32
14	Nantes	25	7	6	12	-4	27
15	Toulouse	25	6	9	10	-12	27
16	Amiens	26	7	3	16	-20	24
17	Monaco	25	5	7	13	-17	22
18	Dijon	25	5	5	15	-19	20
19	Caen	25	3	10	12	-13	19
20	Guingamp	26	4	6	16	-32	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	14	0	0	+45	42
2	St Etienne	13	9	2	2	+13	29
3	Lille	13	8	4	1	+16	28
4	Lyon	13	8	3	2	+11	27
5	Marseille	12	7	3	2	+13	24
6	Bordeaux	13	6	5	2	+5	23
7	Reims	13	6	5	2	+5	23
8	Rennes	12	6	3	3	+6	21
9	Montpellier	12	5	5	2	+9	20
10	Strasbourg	13	5	5	3	+6	20
11	Nice	12	6	2	4	-1	20
12	Nimes	13	5	4	4	+5	19
13	Angers	13	5	4	4	+3	19
14	Nantes	12	4	4	4	+6	16
15	Amiens	13	5	1	7	-4	16
16	Toulouse	12	2	6	4	-4	12
17	Caen	13	2	5	6	-5	11
18	Dijon	12	3	2	7	-9	11
19	Monaco	13	2	4	7	-12	10
20	Guingamp	13	2	3	8	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	8	2	1	+18	26
2	Lille	13	7	2	4	+4	23
3	Lyon	12	5	4	3	+1	19
4	Montpellier	13	4	6	3	-1	18
5	Strasbourg	13	4	5	4	+5	17
6	Nimes	13	5	2	6	-6	17
7	Nice	14	4	5	5	-7	17
8	Marseille	13	5	1	7	-7	16
9	Reims	12	3	6	3	-4	15
10	Rennes	13	4	3	6	-5	15
11	Toulouse	13	4	3	6	-8	15
12	Angers	13	3	5	5	-3	14
13	St Etienne	13	3	5	5	-8	14
14	Monaco	12	3	3	6	-5	12
15	Nantes	13	3	2	8	-10	11
16	Bordeaux	12	2	3	7	-6	9
17	Dijon	13	2	3	8	-10	9
18	Guingamp	13	2	3	8	-22	9
19	Caen	12	1	5	6	-8	8
20	Amiens	13	2	2	9	-16	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.