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Serie A
Referee: Gianpaolo Calvarese
Bologna
U T S U T
0–1
Full-time
Juventus
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,8
This season — Serie A · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 51%
13%
88%
Points per game
0,8
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
46%
58%
Both score Ø 46%
46%
46%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
18 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 18. · Juventus 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 24 21 3 0 +37 66
2 Napoli 24 16 5 3 +24 53
3 Inter 24 14 4 6 +17 46
4 Milan 25 12 9 4 +16 45
5 Roma 25 12 8 5 +16 44
6 Atalanta 25 11 5 9 +15 38
7 Torino 25 9 11 5 +8 38
8 Lazio 24 11 5 8 +6 38
9 Sampdoria 25 10 6 9 +9 36
10 Fiorentina 24 8 11 5 +11 35
11 Sassuolo 24 7 9 8 -5 30
12 Parma 24 8 5 11 -8 29
13 Genoa 24 7 7 10 -9 28
14 Cagliari 25 5 9 11 -15 24
15 Udinese 24 5 7 12 -12 22
16 Spal 24 5 7 12 -15 22
17 Empoli 25 5 6 14 -18 21
18 Bologna 24 3 9 12 -18 18
19 Frosinone 25 3 7 15 -30 16
20 Chievo 24 1 9 14 -29 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bologna Juventus
Erick Pulgar 🟨
6′
16′
🟨 Rodrigo Bentancur
Half-time 0–0
R. Orsolini 🔁
↦ S. Edera
52′
59′
🔁 P. Dybala
↦ Alex Sandro
67′
P. Dybala 0–1
Nicola Sansone 🟨
74′
G. Donsah 🔁
↦ A. Poli
78′
78′
🔁 M. Pjanić
↦ B. Matuidi
D. Falcinelli 🔁
↦ E. Pulgar
85′
87′
🔁 G. Chiellini
↦ F. Bernardeschi
90′
🟨 João Cancelo
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bologna

4-2-3-1
28 Ł. Skorupski G
23 Danilo D
18 F. Helander D
35 M. Dijks M
15 I. M'baye D
16 A. Poli M
21 R. Soriano M
5 E. Pulgar M
20 S. Edera F
9 F. Santander F
10 N. Sansone F
Bench (12)
7 R. Orsolini
17 G. Donsah
91 D. Falcinelli
4 Lyanco
31 B. Džemaili
33 A. Calabresi
6 N. Paz
32 M. Svanberg
1 Angelo da Costa
11 L. Krejčí
8 Á. Nagy
3 G. González

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Juventus

4-3-3
22 M. Perin G
19 L. Bonucci D
12 Alex Sandro D
2 M. De Sciglio D
20 João Cancelo D
24 D. Rugani D
14 B. Matuidi M
30 R. Bentancur M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
17 M. Mandžukić F
33 F. Bernardeschi M
Bench (9)
10 P. Dybala
5 M. Pjanić
3 G. Chiellini
4 M. Cáceres
21 C. Pinsoglio
15 A. Barzagli
18 M. Kean
37 L. Spinazzola
1 W. Szczęsny

Coach: M. Allegri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gianpaolo Calvarese · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.