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Serie A
Referee: Fabio Maresca
Sassuolo
U S U T T
1–1
Full-time
Spal
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Spal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
21%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
6 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 5
7 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 11. · Spal 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 24 21 3 0 +37 66
2 Napoli 24 16 5 3 +24 53
3 Inter 24 14 4 6 +17 46
4 Milan 25 12 9 4 +16 45
5 Roma 25 12 8 5 +16 44
6 Atalanta 25 11 5 9 +15 38
7 Torino 25 9 11 5 +8 38
8 Lazio 24 11 5 8 +6 38
9 Sampdoria 25 10 6 9 +9 36
10 Fiorentina 24 8 11 5 +11 35
11 Sassuolo 24 7 9 8 -5 30
12 Parma 24 8 5 11 -8 29
13 Genoa 24 7 7 10 -9 28
14 Cagliari 25 5 9 11 -15 24
15 Udinese 24 5 7 12 -12 22
16 Spal 24 5 7 12 -15 22
17 Empoli 25 5 6 14 -18 21
18 Bologna 24 3 9 12 -18 18
19 Frosinone 25 3 7 15 -30 16
20 Chievo 24 1 9 14 -29 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Spal
26′
🟨 Mattia Valoti
1–0 F. Peluso
S. Sensi
43′
Half-time 1–0
Federico Peluso 🟨
58′
A. Duncan 🔁
↦ F. Đuričić
62′
Francesco Magnanelli 🟨
67′
68′
A. Petagna 1–1
J. Odgaard 🔁
↦ A. Matri
75′
75′
🔁 M. Antenucci
↦ S. Floccari
F. Di Francesco 🔁
↦ S. Sensi
86′
86′
🔁 L. Dickmann
↦ M. Valoti
Alfred Duncan 🟨
89′
Rogério 🟨
90′
Alfred Duncan 🟥
90′
92′
🔁 A. Paloschi
↦ A. Petagna
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sassuolo

3-4-3
47 A. Consigli G
13 F. Peluso D
31 G. Ferrari D
3 M. Demiral D
6 Rogério M
98 C. Adjapong M
4 F. Magnanelli M
9 F. Đuričić M
20 J. Boga M
12 S. Sensi M
10 A. Matri F
Bench (12)
32 A. Duncan
19 J. Odgaard
34 F. Di Francesco
11 G. Scamacca
23 G. Magnani
30 K. Babacar
68 M. Bourabia
79 G. Pegolo
5 M. Lemos
21 Pol Lirola
73 M. Locatelli
99 E. Brignola

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Spal

4-4-2
1 A. Gomis G
27 Felipe D
4 T. Cionek D
14 K. Bonifazi D
93 M. Fares D
6 S. Missiroli M
19 J. Kurtič M
8 M. Valoti M
11 A. Murgia M
10 S. Floccari F
37 A. Petagna F
Bench (11)
7 M. Antenucci
24 L. Dickmann
43 A. Paloschi
13 V. Regini
23 F. Vicari
5 L. Šimić
33 F. Costa
2 E. Viviano
17 G. Poluzzi
16 M. Valdifiori
12 A. Fulignati

Coach: L. Semplici

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Fabio Maresca · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,42 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.