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Pro League
Referee: Lothar D'hondt
Waregem
S S U U T
3–1
Full-time
Charleroi
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 34%
21%
47%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
74%
63%
Both score Ø 74%
74%
74%
Average goals
3,6
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 15. · Charleroi 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 20 8 8 4 +8 32
2 Genk 14 9 4 1 +20 31
3 Charleroi 19 9 3 7 +6 30
4 Gent 14 9 2 3 +15 29
5 Antwerp 13 9 1 3 +9 28
6 Standard 14 7 5 2 +13 26
7 Kortrijk 20 6 7 7 -4 25
8 Cercle Brugge 20 7 4 9 -14 25
9 Club Brugge 13 7 3 3 +15 24
10 Anderlecht 14 7 3 4 +7 24
11 Oostende 20 6 4 10 -16 22
12 Eupen 20 7 1 12 -17 22
13 Beveren 20 4 8 8 -4 20
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 20 4 5 11 -10 17
15 Waregem 19 4 5 10 -13 17
16 Lokeren 20 3 5 12 -15 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.