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Pro League
Referee: Serge Gumienny
Charleroi
S U S U U
1–1
Full-time
Oostende
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 53%
45%
60%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

5 Corners 5
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 9. · Oostende 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mechelen 30 14 6 10 +5 48
2 Genk 30 14 6 10 +5 48
3 Anderlecht 21 14 4 3 +31 46
4 Waregem 21 14 4 3 +20 46
5 Club Brugge 20 13 3 4 +26 42
6 Standard 30 10 12 8 +9 42
7 Oostende 20 12 4 4 +20 40
8 Gent 20 11 4 5 +13 37
9 Charleroi 20 9 8 3 +6 35
10 Lokeren 30 7 10 13 -10 31
11 Kortrijk 30 8 7 15 -17 31
12 St Truiden 30 8 6 16 -13 30
13 Beveren 30 7 9 14 -15 30
14 Eupen 30 8 6 16 -24 30
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 3 20 -24 24
16 Westerlo 30 5 8 17 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Oostende
24′
🟨 Adam Marušić
Dorian Dessoleil 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
53′
⚽ K. Musona 0–1
Fernando Canesin
C. Benavente 🔁
↦ C. Tainmont
59′
C. Bedia 🔁
↦ J. Remacle
59′
65′
🔁 M. Jonckheere
↦ F. Berrier
M. Fall 🔁
↦ G. Hendrickx
73′
77′
🟨 David Rozehnal
1–1 Clinton Mata ⚽
78′
90′
🔁 J. Akpala
↦ K. Musona
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau G
41 F. N'Ganga D
8 Javi Martos D
24 D. Dessoleil D
23 S. Willems D
7 C. Tainmont M
13 C. Diandy M
22 G. Hendrickx M
19 Clinton Mata M
29 J. Remacle F
9 H. Harbaoui F
Bench (7)
14 C. Benavente
99 C. Bedia
77 M. Fall
5 B. Boulenger
17 S. Marinos
18 A. Baby
35 P. Mandanda

Coach: F. Mazzù

Oostende

1 S. Proto G
18 D. Rozehnal D
27 B. Capon D
31 B. Godeau D
7 S. Siani F
10 F. Berrier M
26 K. Vandendriessche D
55 Fernando Canesin F
77 A. Marušić M
8 Y. El Ghanassy M
11 K. Musona F
Bench (7)
20 M. Jonckheere
17 J. Akpala
4 F. Antunes
6 M. Bossaerts
14 N. Pedersen
28 W. Dutoît
36 H. Özkan

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.