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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Beveren
S S T U U
1–2
Full-time
Genk
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beveren Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 23/16 matches
Win Ø 40%
17%
63%
Points per game
1,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
52%
63%
Both score Ø 62%
61%
63%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
1,1
2,3
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
7 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 11
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Beveren 15. · Genk 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 16 12 1 3 +13 37
2 St Truiden 23 9 9 5 +8 36
3 Genk 16 10 4 2 +20 34
4 Charleroi 24 10 4 10 +1 34
5 Gent 15 10 2 3 +16 32
6 Standard 16 9 5 2 +15 32
7 Kortrijk 24 8 7 9 -3 31
8 Club Brugge 16 9 3 4 +16 30
9 Anderlecht 16 9 3 4 +11 30
10 Eupen 23 9 1 13 -14 28
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 24 7 5 12 -6 26
12 Waregem 24 7 5 12 -10 26
13 Cercle Brugge 24 7 5 12 -17 26
14 Oostende 24 6 5 13 -20 23
15 Beveren 23 4 10 9 -7 22
16 Lokeren 24 3 5 16 -23 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Beveren Genk
1–0 Aleksandar Boljević
Valtteri Moren
11′
Louis Verstraete 🟨
26′
Nana Opoku Ampomah 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 Joseph Paintsil
↦ Dieumerci Ndongala
60′
Mbwana Samatta 1–1
Ruslan Malinovskyi
61′
🟨 Bryan Heynen
Aleksandar Vukotić 🟨
72′
Francesco Forte 🔁
↦ Nana Opoku Ampomah
73′
Karlo Lulić 🔁
↦ Floriano Vanzo
79′
85′
Alejandro Pozuelo 1–2
Ruslan Malinovskyi
Stefan Milosevic 🔁
↦ Louis Verstraete
86′
89′
🔁 Marcus Ingvartsen
↦ Alejandro Pozuelo
Karlo Lulić 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Beveren

4-3-1-2
33 Davy Roef G
52 Jur Schryvers D
4 Valtteri Moren D
23 Maximiliano Caufriez D
26 Aleksandar Vukotić D
8 Djihad Bizimana M
13 Louis Verstraete M
10 Floriano Vanzo F
23 Franko Andrijašević M
7 Aleksandar Boljević F
22 Nana Opoku Ampomah M
Bench (7)
89 Kevin Debaty
19 Alexis Gamboa
9 Stefan Milosevic
5 Karlo Lulić
15 Paul Keita
11 Beni Badibanga
9 Francesco Forte

Genk

4-3-3
1 Danny Vukovic G
31 Joakim Maehle M
45 Joseph Aidoo D
6 Sébastien Dewaest D
2 Casper De Norre D
28 Bryan Heynen M
24 Alejandro Pozuelo M
18 Ruslan Malinovskyi M
77 Dieumerci Ndongala F
10 Mbwana Samatta F
14 Leandro Trossard F
Bench (9)
30 Nordin Jackers
4 Dries Wouters
23 Rubin Seigers
3 Neto Borges
11 Joseph Paintsil
20 Ivan Fiolić
19 Jakub Piotrowski
9 Marcus Ingvartsen
93 Zinho Gano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.