Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Everton
Wolves
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Liverpool
|
24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | +41 | 61 |
| 2 |
Tottenham
|
25 | 19 | 0 | 6 | +27 | 57 |
| 3 |
Man City
|
24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | +44 | 56 |
| 4 |
Arsenal
|
24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | +17 | 47 |
| 5 |
Chelsea
|
24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | +17 | 47 |
| 6 |
Man United
|
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +13 | 45 |
| 7 |
Wolves
|
24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 33 |
| 9 |
Watford
|
24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 |
Leicester
|
24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | +0 | 32 |
| 12 |
West Ham
|
24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 31 |
| 13 |
Brighton
|
24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 |
Newcastle
|
25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -12 | 24 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 23 |
| 16 |
Southampton
|
24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -15 | 23 |
| 17 |
Burnley
|
24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 |
Cardiff
|
24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -26 | 19 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -28 | 17 |
| 20 |
Huddersfield
|
24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | -28 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Pickford
G
M. Keane
D
Richarlison
M
Coach: Marco Silva
M. Doherty
M
Jonny Castro
M
João Moutinho
M
R. Jiménez
F
Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Huddersfield
Everton
Southampton
Everton
Everton
Bournemouth
Everton
Leicester
Brighton
Everton
Lee Mason · 111 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.