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Pro League
Referee: Christof Dierick
Cercle Brugge
S S S T T
2–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 18/12 matches
Win Ø 46%
33%
58%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
61%
67%
Both score Ø 70%
56%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
11 Corners 2
0 Offside 4
24 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 9. · Anderlecht 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 19 8 7 4 +8 31
2 Charleroi 19 9 3 7 +6 30
3 Antwerp 13 9 1 3 +9 28
4 Gent 13 8 2 3 +12 26
5 Genk 12 7 4 1 +16 25
6 Club Brugge 13 7 3 3 +15 24
7 Anderlecht 12 7 3 2 +10 24
8 Kortrijk 19 6 6 7 -4 24
9 Cercle Brugge 18 6 4 8 -12 22
10 Oostende 18 6 4 8 -12 22
11 Eupen 19 7 1 11 -15 22
12 Standard 12 5 5 2 +8 20
13 Beveren 19 3 8 8 -5 17
14 Waregem 18 4 5 9 -10 17
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 19 3 5 11 -12 14
16 Lokeren 19 3 5 11 -14 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge Anderlecht
1–0 Kylian Hazard
9′
22′
Pieter Gerkens 1–1
Sven Kums
Vitinho 🟨
23′
24′
🟨 Ryota Morioka
36′
🟨 Jamie Lawrence
Johanna Ochieng Omolo 🟨
40′
43′
🟨 Sven Kums
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Elias Cobbaut
↦ Albert Sambi Lokonga
2–1 Gianni Bruno
58′
58′
🟨 Andy Najar
Kevin Appin 🔁
↦ Vitinho
65′
Xavier Mercier 🟨
68′
69′
🔁 Kristal Abazaj
↦ Alexis Saelemaekers
Dylan de Belder 🔁
↦ Irvin Cardona
74′
81′
🔁 Dauda Mohammed
↦ Jamie Lawrence
Serge Gakpé 🔁
↦ Kylian Hazard
83′
Johanna Ochieng Omolo 🟨
85′
Johanna Ochieng Omolo 🟥
85′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

5-2-3
1 Paul Nardi G
29 Vitinho D
15 Johanna Ochieng Omolo M
24 Naomichi Ueda D
5 Isaac Kone M
17 Yoann Etienne D
21 Arnaud Lusamba M
10 Xavier Mercier M
9 Gianni Bruno F
14 Irvin Cardona F
13 Kylian Hazard F
Bench (8)
16 Miguel Van Damme
26 Kevin Appin
28 Benjamin Delacourt
6 Serge Gakpé
27 Adrien Bongiovanni
12 Dylan de Belder
22 Anderson Lopez
11 Guevin Tormin

Coach: L. Guyot

Anderlecht

3-4-3
16 Thomas Didillon G
7 Andy Najar D
3 Jamie Lawrence D
45 Sebastiaan Bornauw D
56 Alexis Saelemaekers D
48 Albert Sambi Lokonga F
20 Sven Kums M
40 Francis Amuzu F
10 Ryota Morioka M
9 Landry Dimata F
8 Pieter Gerkens M
Bench (9)
30 Boy De Jong
52 Llias Moutha-Sebtaoui
22 Elias Cobbaut
42 Hannes Delcroix
4 Bubacarr Sanneh
77 Kristal Abazaj
99 Zakaria Bakkali
38 Dauda Mohammed
11 Knowledge Musona

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Christof Dierick · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.