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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Anderlecht
S T U S T
1–1
Full-time
Charleroi
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 11/17 matches
Win Ø 56%
64%
47%
Points per game
2,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
73%
71%
Both score Ø 79%
82%
76%
Average goals
3,6
3,1
Scored
2,3
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 7. · Charleroi 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 18 8 7 3 +10 31
2 Antwerp 12 9 1 2 +11 28
3 Charleroi 17 8 2 7 +4 26
4 Genk 12 7 4 1 +16 25
5 Club Brugge 12 7 2 3 +15 23
6 Gent 11 7 2 2 +12 23
7 Anderlecht 11 7 2 2 +10 23
8 Kortrijk 18 6 5 7 -4 23
9 Cercle Brugge 18 6 4 8 -12 22
10 Oostende 18 6 4 8 -12 22
11 Standard 12 5 5 2 +8 20
12 Eupen 17 6 1 10 -14 19
13 Waregem 18 4 5 9 -10 17
14 Beveren 18 2 8 8 -7 14
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 18 3 5 10 -11 14
16 Lokeren 18 2 5 11 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Charleroi
Ivan Santini 🟨
27′
31′
🟨 Marco Ilaimaharitra
Sven Kums 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
Antonio Milić 🔁
↦ Jamie Lawrence
46′
1–0 Francis Amuzu
47′
54′
🔁 David Henen
↦ Ali Gholizadeh
57′
🟨 Cristian Benavente
61′
🔁 Jérémy Perbet
↦ Massimo Bruno
Andy Najar 🟨
69′
74′
🔁 Adama Niane
↦ Christophe Diandy
Yari Verschaeren 🔁
↦ Ryota Morioka
75′
Sebastiaan Bornauw 🟨
88′
89′
Cristian Benavente 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-4-2
16 Thomas Didillon G
56 Alexis Saelemaekers D
7 Andy Najar D
45 Sebastiaan Bornauw D
3 Jamie Lawrence D
10 Ryota Morioka M
48 Albert Sambi Lokonga F
20 Sven Kums M
40 Francis Amuzu F
9 Landry Dimata F
19 Ivan Santini F
Bench (9)
1 Frank Boeckx
47 Abdoul Dante
44 Antonio Milić
4 Bubacarr Sanneh
8 Pieter Gerkens
39 Edo Kayembe
51 Yari Verschaeren
49 Jeremy Doku
38 Dauda Mohammed

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 Nicolas Penneteau G
17 Stergos Marinos D
6 Gjoko Zajkov D
24 Dorian Dessoleil D
25 Núrio D
26 Marco Ilaimaharitra M
13 Christophe Diandy M
88 Ali Gholizadeh F
14 Cristian Benavente M
77 Massimo Bruno F
45 Victor Osimhen F
Bench (9)
12 Joachim Imbrechts
15 Valentin Baume
4 Maxime Busi
5 Dorian Dervite
20 Nathan Rodes
22 Gaetan Hendrickx
39 David Henen
9 Adama Niane
10 Jérémy Perbet

Coach: P. Amodio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.