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Ligue 1

Referee: O Thual

Strasbourg

U U T S U

2–2

Full-time

Caen

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 22%

31%

13%

Points per game

1,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

44%

38%

Both score Ø 60%

69%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,1

Scored

1,6

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

61% Possession 39%

10 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Strasbourg 10. · Caen 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	14	2	0	+39	44
2	Lille	16	9	3	4	+10	30
3	Montpellier	16	8	5	3	+12	29
4	Lyon	16	8	4	4	+6	28
5	Marseille	16	8	2	6	+4	26
6	St Etienne	16	7	5	4	+3	26
7	Nice	16	7	4	5	-2	25
8	Nimes	16	6	5	5	+3	23
9	Rennes	17	6	5	6	-2	23
10	Strasbourg	16	5	7	4	+6	22
11	Bordeaux	16	5	6	5	+0	21
12	Reims	16	5	6	5	-4	21
13	Nantes	16	5	5	6	+0	20
14	Angers	16	4	6	6	-2	18
15	Toulouse	16	4	6	6	-10	18
16	Dijon	17	4	4	9	-12	16
17	Amiens	17	5	1	11	-14	16
18	Caen	16	2	7	7	-7	13
19	Monaco	16	3	4	9	-8	13
20	Guingamp	17	1	5	11	-22	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	8	0	0	+24	24
2	Lille	8	6	2	0	+12	20
3	St Etienne	8	6	2	0	+10	20
4	Marseille	8	5	2	1	+11	17
5	Lyon	9	5	2	2	+6	17
6	Montpellier	9	4	3	2	+7	15
7	Bordeaux	9	4	3	2	+3	15
8	Nantes	8	3	3	2	+7	12
9	Strasbourg	8	3	3	2	+4	12
10	Reims	8	3	3	2	+1	12
11	Rennes	8	3	2	3	-2	11
12	Nice	8	3	1	4	-5	10
13	Nimes	7	2	3	2	+2	9
14	Angers	8	2	3	3	-1	9
15	Amiens	8	3	0	5	-2	9
16	Toulouse	8	2	3	3	-3	9
17	Caen	8	1	4	3	-2	7
18	Dijon	8	2	1	5	-9	7
19	Guingamp	8	0	3	5	-8	3
20	Monaco	8	0	3	5	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	6	2	0	+15	20
2	Nice	8	4	3	1	+3	15
3	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	+5	14
4	Nimes	9	4	2	3	+1	14
5	Rennes	9	3	3	3	+0	12
6	Lyon	7	3	2	2	+0	11
7	Strasbourg	8	2	4	2	+2	10
8	Monaco	8	3	1	4	+0	10
9	Lille	8	3	1	4	-2	10
10	Angers	8	2	3	3	-1	9
11	Dijon	9	2	3	4	-3	9
12	Reims	8	2	3	3	-5	9
13	Marseille	8	3	0	5	-7	9
14	Toulouse	8	2	3	3	-7	9
15	Nantes	8	2	2	4	-7	8
16	Amiens	9	2	1	6	-12	7
17	Bordeaux	7	1	3	3	-3	6
18	Caen	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	St Etienne	8	1	3	4	-7	6
20	Guingamp	9	1	2	6	-14	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.