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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero Lopez
Huesca
T U T U T
0–1
Full-time
Real Madrid
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huesca Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 29%
7%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
2,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 6
4 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huesca 20. · Real Madrid 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 9 4 2 +22 31
2 Sevilla 15 8 4 3 +11 28
3 Ath Madrid 15 7 7 1 +11 28
4 Alaves 15 7 3 5 +1 24
5 Real Madrid 14 7 2 5 +3 23
6 Levante 15 6 4 5 +2 22
7 Getafe 15 5 6 4 +4 21
8 Girona 14 5 6 3 +1 21
9 Espanol 15 6 3 6 -3 21
10 Celta 15 5 5 5 +4 20
11 Sociedad 14 5 4 5 +1 19
12 Betis 14 5 4 5 -3 19
13 Eibar 15 5 4 6 -4 19
14 Valencia 15 3 9 3 +0 18
15 Valladolid 14 4 5 5 -3 17
16 Leganes 15 4 5 6 -4 17
17 Villarreal 15 3 5 7 -4 14
18 Ath Bilbao 14 1 8 5 -9 11
19 Vallecano 14 2 4 8 -13 10
20 Huesca 14 1 4 9 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huesca Real Madrid
8′
G. Bale 0–1
Álvaro Odriozola
Gonzalo Melero 🔁
↦ Aguilera
19′
26′
🟨 Daniel Carvajal
39′
🟨 Dani Ceballos
Xabier Etxeita 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
58′
🔁 F. Valverde
↦ Dani Ceballos
66′
🔁 Isco
↦ L. Modrić
S. Gürler 🔁
↦ David Ferreiro
76′
76′
🔁 Marco Asensio
↦ G. Bale
Pablo Insua 🟨
80′
S. Longo 🔁
↦ E. Ávila
84′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Huesca

4-2-3-1
25 A. Jovanović G
3 Etxeita D
14 Jorge Pulido D
24 Jorge Miramón D
18 Pablo Ínsua D
7 David Ferreiro M
5 Aguilera M
6 Moi Gómez M
17 Christian Rivera M
19 E. Ávila F
9 J. Hernández F
Bench (7)
8 Gonzalo Melero
21 S. Gürler
12 S. Longo
10 Juanjo Camacho
13 Santamaría
20 R. Brežančić
22 Lluis Sastre

Coach: Francisco

Real Madrid

4-1-4-1
25 T. Courtois G
4 Sergio Ramos D
2 Daniel Carvajal D
5 R. Varane D
19 Álvaro Odriozola D
10 L. Modrić M
17 Lucas Vázquez M
18 Marcos Llorente M
24 Dani Ceballos M
9 K. Benzema F
11 G. Bale F
Bench (7)
15 F. Valverde
22 Isco
20 Marco Asensio
1 K. Navas
3 Jesús Vallejo
28 Vinícius Júnior
31 Javier Sánchez

Coach: S. Solari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero Lopez · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.