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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

NAC Breda

U S T T T

2–1

Full-time

Vitesse

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 14/12 matches

Win Ø 24%

14%

33%

Points per game

0,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

71%

42%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,6

2,4

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

2,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 9

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match NAC Breda 18. · Vitesse 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	14	0	1	+46	42
2	Ajax	15	13	1	1	+42	40
3	Feyenoord	15	11	2	2	+17	35
4	Heracles	14	7	2	5	+1	23
5	Utrecht	13	6	4	3	+7	22
6	AZ Alkmaar	15	6	4	5	+5	22
7	Heerenveen	15	5	5	5	+0	20
8	VVV Venlo	15	5	5	5	-4	20
9	Vitesse	12	4	4	4	+1	16
10	For Sittard	15	4	4	7	-3	16
11	Willem II	15	4	4	7	-7	16
12	Den Haag	15	4	4	7	-14	16
13	Excelsior	15	4	4	7	-18	16
14	Groningen	14	4	2	8	-5	14
15	Zwolle	15	4	2	9	-11	14
16	FC Emmen	15	3	5	7	-16	14
17	De Graafschap	15	3	2	10	-21	11
18	NAC Breda	14	2	2	10	-20	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	0	0	+32	24
2	Feyenoord	8	8	0	0	+15	24
3	Ajax	7	6	1	0	+22	19
4	Heracles	7	6	0	1	+12	18
5	Utrecht	7	5	1	1	+11	16
6	VVV Venlo	7	3	3	1	+5	12
7	For Sittard	8	3	2	3	+2	11
8	AZ Alkmaar	7	2	3	2	+3	9
9	De Graafschap	8	3	0	5	-6	9
10	Excelsior	8	2	3	3	-7	9
11	Vitesse	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	Den Haag	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Groningen	7	2	1	4	+0	7
14	NAC Breda	7	2	1	4	-4	7
15	Heerenveen	7	1	3	3	-6	6
16	FC Emmen	8	1	3	4	-6	6
17	Willem II	7	1	2	4	-3	5
18	Zwolle	8	1	1	6	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	7	0	1	+20	21
2	PSV Eindhoven	7	6	0	1	+14	18
3	Heerenveen	8	4	2	2	+6	14
4	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	1	3	+2	13
5	Feyenoord	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Willem II	8	3	2	3	-4	11
7	Zwolle	7	3	1	3	-4	10
8	Vitesse	7	2	2	3	+0	8
9	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-8	8
10	VVV Venlo	8	2	2	4	-9	8
11	FC Emmen	7	2	2	3	-10	8
12	Groningen	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Excelsior	7	2	1	4	-11	7
14	Utrecht	6	1	3	2	-4	6
15	For Sittard	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Heracles	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	De Graafschap	7	0	2	5	-15	2
18	NAC Breda	7	0	1	6	-16	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.