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Premier League
Referee: Mike Dean
Newcastle
S S S T U
1–2
Full-time
Wolves
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Premier League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
20%
33%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
53%
27%
Both score Ø 50%
53%
47%
Average goals
2,1
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Newcastle 15. · Wolves 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 16 13 3 0 +28 42
2 Man City 16 13 2 1 +36 41
3 Tottenham 16 12 0 4 +14 36
4 Chelsea 16 10 4 2 +20 34
5 Arsenal 16 10 4 2 +15 34
6 Man United 16 7 5 4 +2 26
7 Everton 15 6 5 4 +4 23
8 Bournemouth 16 7 2 7 -1 23
9 Leicester 16 6 4 6 +1 22
10 West Ham 16 6 3 7 -2 21
11 Brighton 16 6 3 7 -3 21
12 Watford 15 6 2 7 -3 20
13 Wolves 15 5 4 6 -3 19
14 Cardiff 16 4 2 10 -15 14
15 Newcastle 15 3 4 8 -8 13
16 Crystal Palace 16 3 3 10 -10 12
17 Burnley 16 3 3 10 -17 12
18 Huddersfield 16 2 4 10 -17 10
19 Southampton 16 1 6 9 -17 9
20 Fulham 16 2 3 11 -24 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Newcastle Wolves
17′
Diogo Jota 0–1
Hélder Costa
Sung-Yueng Ki 🟨
18′
1–1 Ayoze Pérez
S. Rondón
23′
33′
🟨 Matt Doherty
Half-time 1–1
Javi Manquillo 🔁
↦ F. Fernández
46′
DeAndre Yedlin 🟥
57′
60′
🔁 R. Jiménez
↦ R. Saïss
60′
🔁 M. Gibbs-White
↦ Adama Traoré
65′
🟨 Hélder Costa
72′
🟨 Conor Coady
73′
🟨 Diogo Jota
76′
🔁 João Moutinho
↦ Hélder Costa
80′
🟨 Ryan Bennett
Joselu 🔁
↦ S. Rondón
86′
Kenedy 🔁
↦ C. Atsu
89′
Ciaran Clark 🟨
90′
94′
M. Doherty 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Newcastle

3-5-1-1
12 M. Dúbravka G
18 F. Fernández D
2 C. Clark D
6 J. Lascelles D
22 D. Yedlin M
4 Ki Sung-Yeung M
10 M. Diamé M
11 M. Ritchie M
30 C. Atsu M
9 S. Rondón F
17 Ayoze Pérez F
Bench (7)
19 Javi Manquillo
21 Joselu
15 Kenedy
3 P. Dummett
13 Y. Muto
36 S. Longstaff
41 F. Woodman

Coach: Rafael Benítez

Wolves

3-4-3
11 Rui Patrício G
5 R. Bennett D
15 W. Boly D
2 M. Doherty M
16 C. Coady D
29 Rúben Vinagre M
27 R. Saïss M
8 Rúben Neves M
18 Diogo Jota F
10 Hélder Costa F
37 Adama Traoré F
Bench (7)
9 R. Jiménez
17 M. Gibbs-White
28 João Moutinho
7 Ivan Cavaleiro
21 J. Ruddy
32 L. Dendoncker
33 Léo Bonatini

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mike Dean · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.