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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni

Crotone

U U U T T

4–1

Full-time

Sampdoria

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 35%

19%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

50%

62%

Both score Ø 50%

42%

58%

Average goals

2,7

3,1

Scored

0,9

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

39% Possession 61%

14 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 10

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crotone 19. · Sampdoria 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	27	22	3	2	+43	69
2	Juventus	26	22	2	2	+48	68
3	Roma	28	17	5	6	+24	56
4	Lazio	27	16	4	7	+30	52
5	Inter	26	14	9	3	+21	51
6	Sampdoria	26	13	5	8	+12	44
7	Milan	26	13	5	8	+7	44
8	Atalanta	25	10	8	7	+8	38
9	Fiorentina	27	10	8	9	+4	38
10	Torino	27	8	12	7	+1	36
11	Udinese	26	10	3	13	-1	33
12	Bologna	27	10	3	14	-6	33
13	Genoa	26	8	6	12	-6	30
14	Cagliari	26	7	4	15	-18	25
15	Chievo	27	6	7	14	-21	25
16	Spal	27	5	8	14	-22	23
17	Sassuolo	26	6	5	15	-31	23
18	Verona	27	6	4	17	-26	22
19	Crotone	26	5	6	15	-24	21
20	Benevento	27	3	1	23	-43	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	14	10	2	2	+20	32
2	Sampdoria	14	10	2	2	+19	32
3	Juventus	12	10	1	1	+26	31
4	Inter	14	9	4	1	+16	31
5	Roma	15	9	1	5	+10	28
6	Lazio	13	7	2	4	+17	23
7	Milan	12	7	2	3	+2	23
8	Atalanta	13	6	4	3	+8	22
9	Fiorentina	14	6	4	4	+2	22
10	Torino	13	5	5	3	+8	20
11	Bologna	14	5	3	6	+0	18
12	Udinese	13	5	2	6	+2	17
13	Chievo	13	4	4	5	-4	16
14	Spal	13	3	5	5	-8	14
15	Crotone	13	3	4	6	-7	13
16	Cagliari	13	4	1	8	-9	13
17	Verona	14	4	1	9	-13	13
18	Genoa	12	3	2	7	-5	11
19	Sassuolo	13	2	4	7	-12	10
20	Benevento	13	3	1	9	-15	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	13	12	1	0	+23	37
2	Juventus	14	12	1	1	+22	37
3	Lazio	14	9	2	3	+13	29
4	Roma	13	8	4	1	+14	28
5	Milan	14	6	3	5	+5	21
6	Inter	12	5	5	2	+5	20
7	Genoa	14	5	4	5	-1	19
8	Fiorentina	13	4	4	5	+2	16
9	Atalanta	12	4	4	4	+0	16
10	Udinese	13	5	1	7	-3	16
11	Torino	14	3	7	4	-7	16
12	Bologna	13	5	0	8	-6	15
13	Sassuolo	13	4	1	8	-19	13
14	Sampdoria	12	3	3	6	-7	12
15	Cagliari	13	3	3	7	-9	12
16	Verona	13	2	3	8	-13	9
17	Spal	14	2	3	9	-14	9
18	Chievo	14	2	3	9	-17	9
19	Crotone	13	2	2	9	-17	8
20	Benevento	14	0	0	14	-28	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.