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Referee: Jonathan Lardot

St Truiden

S T T T T

2–1

Full-time

Eupen

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Eupen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 27%

25%

29%

Points per game

0,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 56%

50%

61%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

1,6

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 5

14 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 14. · Eupen 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mechelen	28	13	6	9	+7	45
2	Waregem	18	13	3	2	+19	42
3	Genk	28	12	6	10	+0	42
4	Club Brugge	18	13	2	3	+27	41
5	Standard	28	10	11	7	+10	41
6	Anderlecht	18	12	4	2	+28	40
7	Oostende	18	12	2	4	+20	38
8	Charleroi	18	9	6	3	+6	33
9	Gent	18	9	4	5	+9	31
10	Beveren	28	7	9	12	-11	30
11	Kortrijk	28	8	6	14	-15	30
12	Eupen	28	8	6	14	-21	30
13	Lokeren	28	7	8	13	-10	29
14	St Truiden	28	7	5	16	-14	26
15	Westerlo	28	5	7	16	-28	22
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	28	5	3	20	-27	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	14	9	3	2	+10	30
2	Mechelen	14	9	1	4	+10	28
3	Standard	14	7	4	3	+11	25
4	Gent	9	8	0	1	+14	24
5	Club Brugge	9	7	2	0	+17	23
6	Waregem	9	7	2	0	+12	23
7	Anderlecht	9	7	1	1	+21	22
8	Charleroi	9	7	1	1	+6	22
9	St Truiden	14	6	4	4	+4	22
10	Oostende	9	6	2	1	+15	20
11	Lokeren	14	5	5	4	+1	20
12	Beveren	14	4	6	4	+1	18
13	Kortrijk	14	5	3	6	+0	18
14	Eupen	14	4	5	5	-6	17
15	Westerlo	14	3	3	8	-9	12
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	3	2	9	-12	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	9	6	1	2	+7	19
2	Club Brugge	9	6	0	3	+10	18
3	Anderlecht	9	5	3	1	+7	18
4	Oostende	9	6	0	3	+5	18
5	Mechelen	14	4	5	5	-3	17
6	Standard	14	3	7	4	-1	16
7	Eupen	14	4	1	9	-15	13
8	Genk	14	3	3	8	-10	12
9	Beveren	14	3	3	8	-12	12
10	Kortrijk	14	3	3	8	-15	12
11	Charleroi	9	2	5	2	+0	11
12	Westerlo	14	2	4	8	-19	10
13	Lokeren	14	2	3	9	-11	9
14	Gent	9	1	4	4	-5	7
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	2	1	11	-15	7
16	St Truiden	14	1	1	12	-18	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.