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Bundesliga
Referee: Jochen Drees
Darmstadt
U T T S T
1–2
Full-time
Augsburg
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 22%
14%
29%
Points per game
0,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 45%
38%
52%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
0,7
0,9
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
5 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 8
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 18. · Augsburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 21 15 5 1 +33 50
2 RB Leipzig 21 14 3 4 +17 45
3 Dortmund 21 10 7 4 +20 37
4 Hoffenheim 21 9 10 2 +17 37
5 Ein Frankfurt 21 10 5 6 +5 35
6 Hertha 21 10 4 7 +4 34
7 FC Koln 21 8 9 4 +11 33
8 Leverkusen 21 9 3 9 +4 30
9 Freiburg 21 9 3 9 -8 30
10 Schalke 04 21 7 5 9 +3 26
11 M'gladbach 21 7 5 9 -6 26
12 Mainz 21 7 4 10 -8 25
13 Augsburg 21 6 6 9 -8 24
14 Wolfsburg 22 6 4 12 -13 22
15 Werder Bremen 22 6 4 12 -15 22
16 Hamburg 21 5 5 11 -16 20
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 21 5 3 13 -13 18
18 Darmstadt 21 3 3 15 -27 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Darmstadt Augsburg
S. Sirigu 🔁
↦ J. Rosenthal
35′
Half-time 0–0
T. Boyd 🔁
↦ S. Sam
46′
1–0 M. Heller
J. Gondorf
47′
55′
P. Verhaegh 1–1
S. Schipplock 🔁
↦ A. Colak
76′
77′
🔁 M. Leitner
↦ J. Morávek
85′
R. Bobadilla 1–2
Dong-Won Ji
Marcel Heller 🟨
88′
89′
🔁 J. Schmidt
↦ R. Bobadilla
93′
🔁 R. Framberger
↦ Ja-Cheol Koo
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Darmstadt

4-2-3-1
31 M. Esser G
32 F. Holland D
7 A. Fedetskiy D
4 A. Sulu D
3 A. Milosevic D
10 J. Rosenthal M
34 Hamit Altıntop M
20 M. Heller M
33 S. Sam M
8 J. Gondorf M
16 A. Colak F
Bench (7)
17 S. Sirigu
15 T. Boyd
39 S. Schipplock
1 Daniel Heuer
2 L. Guwara
6 M. Vrančić
21 I. Höhn

Coach: T. Frings

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
2 P. Verhaegh D
36 M. Hinteregger D
3 K. Stafylidis D
7 Halil Altıntop M
20 G. Kačar M
14 J. Morávek M
19 Ja-Cheol Koo M
21 D. Kohr M
25 R. Bobadilla F
22 Dong-Won Ji M
Bench (7)
5 M. Leitner
33 J. Schmidt
32 R. Framberger
16 C. Janker
24 I. Gelios
31 P. Max
39 T. Usami

Coach: M. Baum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jochen Drees · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.