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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez

Eibar

T S S S T

3–0

Full-time

Malaga

T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,2

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 35%

43%

26%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

57%

52%

Both score Ø 64%

57%

70%

Average goals

2,9

3,0

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

8 Shots 4

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 2

6 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Eibar 7. · Malaga 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	22	16	4	2	+37	52
2	Sevilla	24	16	4	4	+19	52
3	Barcelona	23	15	6	2	+44	51
4	Ath Madrid	23	13	6	4	+24	45
5	Sociedad	24	14	2	8	+5	44
6	Villarreal	23	10	9	4	+15	39
7	Eibar	23	10	5	8	+5	35
8	Ath Bilbao	23	10	5	8	+0	35
9	Celta	22	10	3	9	+0	33
10	Alaves	24	8	9	7	-5	33
11	Espanol	23	8	8	7	-1	32
12	Las Palmas	24	7	7	10	-4	28
13	Malaga	23	6	8	9	-6	26
14	Valencia	24	7	5	12	-9	26
15	Betis	23	6	6	11	-14	24
16	Leganes	24	5	6	13	-19	21
17	La Coruna	23	4	7	12	-13	19
18	Sp Gijon	23	4	4	15	-22	16
19	Granada	23	3	7	13	-28	16
20	Osasuna	23	1	7	15	-28	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	10	2	0	+21	32
2	Sevilla	11	9	1	1	+12	28
3	Ath Bilbao	12	8	3	1	+9	27
4	Ath Madrid	11	8	2	1	+16	26
5	Barcelona	11	7	3	1	+20	24
6	Villarreal	12	7	3	2	+12	24
7	Celta	11	8	0	3	+6	24
8	Las Palmas	13	6	5	2	+9	23
9	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+6	23
10	Sociedad	12	7	2	3	+4	23
11	Malaga	11	6	2	3	+4	20
12	Betis	13	4	6	3	-1	18
13	Espanol	12	4	5	3	+3	17
14	Alaves	12	3	6	3	-6	15
15	La Coruna	10	4	2	4	+4	14
16	Valencia	11	4	2	5	-5	14
17	Granada	11	3	4	4	+0	13
18	Leganes	12	2	4	6	-6	10
19	Sp Gijon	11	3	1	7	-12	10
20	Osasuna	12	0	4	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	8	3	1	+24	27
2	Sevilla	13	7	3	3	+7	24
3	Sociedad	12	7	0	5	+1	21
4	Real Madrid	10	6	2	2	+16	20
5	Ath Madrid	12	5	4	3	+8	19
6	Alaves	12	5	3	4	+1	18
7	Villarreal	11	3	6	2	+3	15
8	Espanol	11	4	3	4	-4	15
9	Eibar	11	3	3	5	-1	12
10	Valencia	13	3	3	7	-4	12
11	Leganes	12	3	2	7	-13	11
12	Celta	11	2	3	6	-6	9
13	Ath Bilbao	11	2	2	7	-9	8
14	Malaga	12	0	6	6	-10	6
15	Sp Gijon	12	1	3	8	-10	6
16	Betis	10	2	0	8	-13	6
17	Osasuna	11	1	3	7	-14	6
18	Las Palmas	11	1	2	8	-13	5
19	La Coruna	13	0	5	8	-17	5
20	Granada	12	0	3	9	-28	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.