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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Charleroi
S T U S T
2–1
Full-time
Westerlo
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 15/25 matches
Win Ø 34%
47%
20%
Points per game
1,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
47%
76%
Both score Ø 56%
47%
64%
Average goals
2,1
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

8 Corners 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 10. · Westerlo 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 26 12 5 9 +2 41
2 Waregem 17 12 3 2 +16 39
3 Club Brugge 16 12 2 2 +27 38
4 Mechelen 25 11 5 9 +2 38
5 Anderlecht 17 11 4 2 +26 37
6 Standard 25 9 9 7 +9 36
7 Oostende 17 11 2 4 +16 35
8 Kortrijk 25 8 6 11 -11 30
9 Gent 15 8 3 4 +8 27
10 Charleroi 15 7 5 3 +4 26
11 Lokeren 25 6 8 11 -7 26
12 St Truiden 26 7 5 14 -10 26
13 Beveren 25 5 9 11 -12 24
14 Westerlo 25 5 7 13 -22 22
15 Eupen 25 5 6 14 -24 21
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 26 5 3 18 -24 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Westerlo
Hamdi Harbaoui 🟨
23′
Christophe Diandy 🟨
33′
39′
E. Acolatse 0–1
S. Ganvoula
Clinton Mata 🔁
↦ S. Marinos
40′
Half-time 0–1
60′
🟨 Elton Acolatse
C. Bedia 🔁
↦ D. Pollet
60′
C. Benavente 🔁
↦ J. Remacle
68′
1–1 D. Marcq
Clinton Mata
74′
77′
🔁 R. Henkens
↦ E. Acolatse
86′
🔁 C. Strandberg
↦ S. Ganvoula
2–1 C. Benavente
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau G
17 S. Marinos D
8 Javi Martos D
24 D. Dessoleil D
5 B. Boulenger D
25 D. Marcq M
18 A. Baby M
13 C. Diandy M
29 J. Remacle F
9 H. Harbaoui F
10 D. Pollet F
Bench (7)
19 Clinton Mata
99 C. Bedia
14 C. Benavente
21 D. Bakar
22 G. Hendrickx
35 P. Mandanda
41 F. N'Ganga

Coach: F. Mazzù

Westerlo

30 K. Van Langendonck G
3 F. Daems D
19 D. Christensen M
2 M. Apau D
73 N. Miletić D
24 M. Heylen
29 Y. Buyens M
11 K. Hyland M
28 N. Rommens M
9 E. Acolatse F
35 S. Ganvoula F
Bench (7)
6 R. Henkens
97 C. Strandberg
1 K. Van Hout
7 M. Nikolic
16 J. Mustoe
17 K. Schuermans
22 G. Ruyssen

Coach: J. Mathijssen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.