La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Betis
Sevilla
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | +37 | 52 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | +44 | 51 |
| 3 |
Sevilla
|
23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | +18 | 49 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | +24 | 45 |
| 5 |
Sociedad
|
24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | +5 | 44 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | +15 | 39 |
| 7 |
Eibar
|
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | +5 | 35 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | +0 | 35 |
| 9 |
Celta
|
22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | +0 | 33 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 |
Espanol
|
23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | -1 | 32 |
| 12 |
Las Palmas
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -4 | 28 |
| 13 |
Malaga
|
23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -6 | 26 |
| 14 |
Valencia
|
24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 |
Betis
|
22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 |
La Coruna
|
22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -9 | 19 |
| 17 |
Leganes
|
23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -23 | 18 |
| 18 |
Sp Gijon
|
23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | -22 | 16 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -28 | 16 |
| 20 |
Osasuna
|
23 | 1 | 7 | 15 | -28 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Mandi
D
Dani Ceballos
M
Coach: Víctor Sánchez
S. N'Zonzi
M
Coach: J. Sampaoli
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Granada
Betis
Betis
Valencia
Betis
Barcelona
Betis
Sp Gijon
Ath Madrid
Betis
Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.