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Championship
Referee: Geoff Eltringham
Wigan
U T S U T
0–0
Full-time
Nott'm Forest
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wigan Nott'm Forest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Championship · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 26%
21%
30%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
42%
64%
Both score Ø 55%
42%
67%
Average goals
2,1
3,2
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 10
0 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wigan 22. · Nott'm Forest 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 32 22 3 7 +37 69
2 Brighton 32 20 8 4 +28 68
3 Leeds 34 19 4 11 +12 61
4 Huddersfield 29 19 4 6 +10 61
5 Reading 30 17 6 7 +10 57
6 Sheffield Weds 32 15 7 10 +6 52
7 Norwich 33 15 6 12 +11 51
8 Fulham 30 13 10 7 +13 49
9 Barnsley 33 14 7 12 +4 49
10 Preston 33 13 10 10 +4 49
11 Derby 32 13 9 10 +7 48
12 Cardiff 33 13 6 14 -2 45
13 Birmingham 34 11 10 13 -13 43
14 Ipswich 33 10 11 12 -7 41
15 Brentford 32 11 7 14 +0 40
16 QPR 33 11 7 15 -10 40
17 Aston Villa 32 8 12 12 -8 36
18 Nott'm Forest 33 10 6 17 -12 36
19 Burton Albion 34 9 9 16 -13 36
20 Wolves 32 9 8 15 -5 35
21 Bristol City 32 9 5 18 -6 32
22 Wigan 33 7 9 17 -10 30
23 Blackburn 32 7 9 16 -13 30
24 Rotherham 33 4 5 24 -43 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -16 Nott'm Forest – Wigan 4–3

Match report

Wigan Nott'm Forest
Jake Buxton 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 J. Ward
↦ Z. Clough
G. Obertan 🔁
↦ M. Power
58′
A. Gilbey 🔁
↦ M. Mandron
59′
70′
🟨 David Vaughan
82′
🔁 R. McCormack
↦ B. Brereton
W. Grigg 🔁
↦ O. Bogle
84′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Wigan

4-4-2
35 M. Gilks G
23 S. Warnock M
3 J. Buxton D
33 D. Burn D
26 J. Hanson M
16 S. MacDonald M
8 Sam Morsy M
6 M. Power M
19 R. Tunnicliffe M
14 O. Bogle F
39 M. Mandron F
Bench (7)
11 G. Obertan
7 A. Gilbey
9 W. Grigg
12 C. Connolly
4 D. Perkins
47 J. Weir
46 T. Roberts

Coach: W. Joyce

Nott'm Forest

4-4-2
43 J. Smith G
13 D. Fox D
2 E. Lichaj D
3 Dani Pinillos D
42 J. Worrall D
24 D. Vaughan M
18 M. Carayol M
11 B. Osborn M
9 B. Assombalonga F
16 Z. Clough F
45 B. Brereton F
Bench (7)
19 J. Ward
50 R. McCormack
8 C. Cohen
26 D. Evtimov
48 A. Ahmedhodzic
41 M. Cash
15 A. Tshibola

Coach: G. Brazil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Geoff Eltringham · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.