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Premier League
Referee: Neil Swarbrick
Chelsea
S S S T S
2–0
Full-time
Hull
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,2
This season — Premier League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 50%
81%
19%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
57%
Both score Ø 43%
33%
52%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
2,1
1,0
Conceded
0,7
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chelsea 1. · Hull 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 21 17 1 3 +30 52
2 Arsenal 22 14 5 3 +27 47
3 Tottenham 22 13 7 2 +29 46
4 Liverpool 22 13 6 3 +24 45
5 Man City 22 13 4 5 +15 43
6 Man United 22 11 8 3 +12 41
7 Everton 22 10 6 6 +10 36
8 West Brom 22 9 5 8 +2 32
9 Stoke 22 7 7 8 -6 28
10 West Ham 22 8 4 10 -7 28
11 Southampton 22 7 6 9 -4 27
12 Bournemouth 22 7 5 10 -7 26
13 Burnley 22 8 2 12 -9 26
14 Watford 22 6 6 10 -13 24
15 Leicester 22 5 6 11 -13 21
16 Middlesbrough 22 4 8 10 -7 20
17 Swansea 22 5 3 14 -25 18
18 Crystal Palace 22 4 4 14 -11 16
19 Hull 21 4 4 13 -25 16
20 Sunderland 22 4 3 15 -22 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Oct -16 Hull – Chelsea 0–2

Match report

Chelsea Hull
7′
🟨 Michael Dawson
21′
🔁 D. Meyler
↦ R. Mason
26′
🟨 Curtis Davies
N'Golo Kanté 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Diego Costa
V. Moses
52′
52′
🟨 Andrew Robertson
59′
🔁 O. Niasse
↦ C. Davies
Fàbregas 🔁
↦ E. Hazard
71′
Willian 🔁
↦ Pedro
71′
75′
🔁 A. Diomande
↦ A. Hernández
2–0 G. Cahill
Fàbregas
81′
M. Batshuayi 🔁
↦ Diego Costa
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Chelsea

3-4-3
13 T. Courtois G
24 G. Cahill D
30 David Luiz D
28 Azpilicueta D
3 Marcos Alonso M
15 V. Moses M
21 N. Matić M
10 E. Hazard F
11 Pedro F
7 N. Kanté M
19 Diego Costa F
Bench (7)
4 Fàbregas
22 Willian
23 M. Batshuayi
1 A. Begović
5 K. Zouma
6 N. Aké
29 N. Chalobah

Coach: A. Conte

Hull

3-4-2-1
16 E. Jakupovic G
21 M. Dawson D
6 C. Davies D
14 O. Elabdellaoui M
5 H. Maguire D
3 A. Robertson M
8 T. Huddlestone M
40 Evandro F
25 R. Mason M
11 S. Clucas F
9 A. Hernández F
Bench (7)
7 D. Meyler
24 O. Niasse
20 A. Diomande
15 S. Maloney
23 D. Marshall
28 J. Tymon
29 J. Bowen

Coach: Marco Silva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Neil Swarbrick · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
13,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.