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Serie A

Referee: Nicola Rizzoli

Atalanta

T U S S T

1–0

Full-time

Sampdoria

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 43%

55%

30%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

70%

45%

Both score Ø 60%

55%

65%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 5

8 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 7. · Sampdoria 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	20	16	0	4	+26	48
2	Napoli	21	13	5	3	+23	44
3	Roma	20	14	2	4	+23	44
4	Lazio	21	12	4	5	+11	40
5	Inter	21	12	3	6	+11	39
6	Milan	20	11	4	5	+7	37
7	Atalanta	20	11	2	7	+8	35
8	Fiorentina	20	9	6	5	+8	33
9	Torino	21	8	6	7	+7	30
10	Bologna	20	7	5	8	-5	26
11	Cagliari	20	8	2	10	-13	26
12	Udinese	21	7	4	10	-3	25
13	Chievo	21	7	4	10	-9	25
14	Sassuolo	21	7	3	11	-4	24
15	Sampdoria	20	6	6	8	-4	24
16	Genoa	21	6	6	9	-5	24
17	Empoli	21	5	6	10	-14	21
18	Crotone	20	2	4	14	-20	10
19	Palermo	21	2	4	15	-24	10
20	Pescara	20	1	6	13	-23	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	11	0	0	+23	33
2	Roma	9	9	0	0	+20	27
3	Napoli	11	8	2	1	+14	26
4	Lazio	11	8	1	2	+12	25
5	Inter	10	7	2	1	+13	23
6	Milan	11	7	2	2	+6	23
7	Cagliari	10	7	1	2	+4	22
8	Torino	10	6	3	1	+11	21
9	Fiorentina	10	5	5	0	+5	20
10	Atalanta	9	6	0	3	+4	18
11	Sampdoria	10	5	3	2	+4	18
12	Genoa	11	4	5	2	+6	17
13	Bologna	10	5	2	3	+4	17
14	Sassuolo	10	5	1	4	+1	16
15	Chievo	11	4	3	4	-4	15
16	Udinese	11	4	2	5	+0	14
17	Empoli	11	4	2	5	-8	14
18	Crotone	9	2	2	5	-5	8
19	Pescara	10	0	4	6	-13	4
20	Palermo	10	0	1	9	-15	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	10	5	3	2	+9	18
2	Atalanta	11	5	2	4	+4	17
3	Roma	11	5	2	4	+3	17
4	Inter	11	5	1	5	-2	16
5	Juventus	9	5	0	4	+3	15
6	Lazio	10	4	3	3	-1	15
7	Milan	9	4	2	3	+1	14
8	Fiorentina	10	4	1	5	+3	13
9	Udinese	10	3	2	5	-3	11
10	Chievo	10	3	1	6	-5	10
11	Torino	11	2	3	6	-4	9
12	Palermo	11	2	3	6	-9	9
13	Bologna	10	2	3	5	-9	9
14	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	-5	8
15	Empoli	10	1	4	5	-6	7
16	Genoa	10	2	1	7	-11	7
17	Sampdoria	10	1	3	6	-8	6
18	Pescara	10	1	2	7	-10	5
19	Cagliari	10	1	1	8	-17	4
20	Crotone	11	0	2	9	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.