Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Palermo
Inter
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
20 | 16 | 0 | 4 | +26 | 48 |
| 2 |
Napoli
|
21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | +23 | 44 |
| 3 |
Roma
|
20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | +23 | 44 |
| 4 |
Lazio
|
21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | +11 | 40 |
| 5 |
Milan
|
20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | +7 | 37 |
| 6 |
Inter
|
20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | +10 | 36 |
| 7 |
Atalanta
|
20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | +8 | 35 |
| 8 |
Fiorentina
|
20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 9 |
Torino
|
20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +9 | 30 |
| 10 |
Cagliari
|
20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 26 |
| 11 |
Udinese
|
20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 |
Chievo
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 |
Sampdoria
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 24 |
| 14 |
Genoa
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 23 |
| 15 |
Bologna
|
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | -7 | 23 |
| 16 |
Sassuolo
|
20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 |
Empoli
|
20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -15 | 18 |
| 18 |
Palermo
|
20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | -23 | 10 |
| 19 |
Crotone
|
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | -20 | 9 |
| 20 |
Pescara
|
19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | -21 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
E. Goldaniga
D
G. Pezzella
M
Coach: E. Corini
R. Gagliardini
M
I. Perišić
M
Coach: S. Pioli
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sassuolo
Palermo
Empoli
Palermo
Palermo
Pescara
Genoa
Palermo
Palermo
Chievo
Massimiliano Irrati · 66 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.