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Serie A
Referee: Massimiliano Irrati
Palermo
T S U T T
0–1
Full-time
Inter
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
10%
55%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
50%
65%
Both score Ø 63%
65%
60%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
6 Shots 16
0 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 12
1 Offside 3
23 Free kicks against 13
7 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Palermo 18. · Inter 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 20 16 0 4 +26 48
2 Napoli 21 13 5 3 +23 44
3 Roma 20 14 2 4 +23 44
4 Lazio 21 12 4 5 +11 40
5 Milan 20 11 4 5 +7 37
6 Inter 20 11 3 6 +10 36
7 Atalanta 20 11 2 7 +8 35
8 Fiorentina 20 9 6 5 +8 33
9 Torino 20 8 6 6 +9 30
10 Cagliari 20 8 2 10 -13 26
11 Udinese 20 7 4 9 -2 25
12 Chievo 21 7 4 10 -9 25
13 Sampdoria 20 6 6 8 -4 24
14 Genoa 20 6 5 9 -5 23
15 Bologna 19 6 5 8 -7 23
16 Sassuolo 20 6 3 11 -6 21
17 Empoli 20 4 6 10 -15 18
18 Palermo 20 2 4 14 -23 10
19 Crotone 19 2 3 14 -20 9
20 Pescara 19 1 6 12 -21 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Palermo Inter
Ilija Nestorovski 🟨
19′
22′
🟨 Cristian Ansaldi
36′
🟨 Danilo D'Ambrosio
Edoardo Goldaniga 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
55′
🔁 João Mário
↦ É. Banega
Alessandro Gazzi 🟨
63′
65′
João Mário 0–1
A. Candreva
N. Balogh 🔁
↦ Bruno Henrique
72′
77′
🔁 G. Kondogbia
↦ I. Perišić
Norbert Balogh 🟨
78′
A. Diamanti 🔁
↦ A. Rispoli
78′
79′
🟨 Cristian Ansaldi
79′
🟥 Cristian Ansaldi
I. Chochev 🔁
↦ M. Jajalo
81′
82′
🔁 D. Santon
↦ A. Candreva
Alessandro Diamanti 🟨
83′
Alessandro Gazzi 🟨
90′
Robin Quaison 🟨
90′
Alessandro Gazzi 🟥
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Palermo

3-5-2
1 J. Posavec G
3 A. Rispoli M
15 T. Cionek D
12 G. González D
6 E. Goldaniga D
97 G. Pezzella M
14 A. Gazzi M
28 M. Jajalo M
25 Bruno Henrique M
21 R. Quaison F
30 I. Nestorovski F
Bench (12)
22 N. Balogh
23 A. Diamanti
18 I. Chochev
2 R. Vitiello
4 S. Anđelković
8 A. Trajkovski
9 S. Silva
11 Carlos Embalo
19 H. Aleesami
27 A. Bentivegna
55 L. Marson
89 M. Morganella

Coach: E. Corini

Inter

4-2-3-1
1 S. Handanovič G
25 João Miranda D
15 C. Ansaldi M
24 J. Murillo D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
19 É. Banega M
77 M. Brozović M
5 R. Gagliardini M
44 I. Perišić M
87 A. Candreva M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (12)
6 João Mário
7 G. Kondogbia
21 D. Santon
2 M. Andreolli
8 R. Palacio
11 J. Biabiany
13 A. Ranocchia
17 G. Medel
23 E. Martins
30 J. Carrizo
55 Y. Nagatomo
96 Gabriel

Coach: S. Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Massimiliano Irrati · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.