Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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St Etienne
Angers
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | +43 | 48 |
| 2 |
Nice
|
21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | +21 | 46 |
| 3 |
Paris SG
|
21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | +26 | 45 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | +14 | 34 |
| 5 |
Guingamp
|
21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | +4 | 31 |
| 6 |
Marseille
|
20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 30 |
| 7 |
Rennes
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -4 | 29 |
| 8 |
Bordeaux
|
21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 |
St Etienne
|
20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | +2 | 27 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -1 | 26 |
| 11 |
Nantes
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 |
Nancy
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 |
Montpellier
|
21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 |
Lille
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -7 | 23 |
| 15 |
Metz
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -16 | 23 |
| 16 |
Dijon
|
21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | -3 | 21 |
| 17 |
Bastia
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -7 | 21 |
| 18 |
Caen
|
20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | -12 | 21 |
| 19 |
Angers
|
20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -9 | 20 |
| 20 |
Lorient
|
21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -20 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lille
St Etienne
St Etienne
Nancy
Lorient
St Etienne
St Etienne
Guingamp
Rennes
St Etienne
Benoît Bastien · 74 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.