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Ligue 1
Referee: Benoît Bastien
St Etienne
T S T U U
2–1
Full-time
Angers
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 28%
30%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
25%
30%
Both score Ø 45%
45%
45%
Average goals
1,8
2,1
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 9. · Angers 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 21 15 3 3 +43 48
2 Nice 21 13 7 1 +21 46
3 Paris SG 21 14 3 4 +26 45
4 Lyon 19 11 1 7 +14 34
5 Guingamp 21 8 7 6 +4 31
6 Marseille 20 8 6 6 +0 30
7 Rennes 21 8 5 8 -4 29
8 Bordeaux 21 7 8 6 -5 29
9 St Etienne 20 6 9 5 +2 27
10 Toulouse 21 7 5 9 -1 26
11 Nantes 21 7 4 10 -14 25
12 Nancy 20 6 6 8 -7 24
13 Montpellier 21 5 8 8 -5 23
14 Lille 21 6 5 10 -7 23
15 Metz 20 6 5 9 -16 23
16 Dijon 21 4 9 8 -3 21
17 Bastia 21 5 6 10 -7 21
18 Caen 20 6 3 11 -12 21
19 Angers 20 5 5 10 -9 20
20 Lorient 21 5 3 13 -20 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.