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Pro League
Referee: Bart Vertenten
Oostende
S U S S S
6–0
Full-time
Genk
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
2,5
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 10/15 matches
Win Ø 54%
60%
47%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
100%
53%
Both score Ø 72%
90%
53%
Average goals
3,7
2,6
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Oostende 9. · Genk 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 10 9 0 1 +16 27
2 Kortrijk 15 6 6 3 +4 24
3 Genk 15 7 3 5 +1 24
4 Club Brugge 11 7 2 2 +15 23
5 Gent 10 7 1 2 +9 22
6 Standard 15 6 4 5 +8 22
7 Charleroi 11 6 4 1 +5 22
8 Mechelen 16 6 4 6 -2 22
9 Oostende 10 6 2 2 +9 20
10 Anderlecht 10 6 2 2 +9 20
11 Eupen 16 4 4 8 -12 16
12 Lokeren 16 4 3 9 -8 15
13 Beveren 16 3 5 8 -12 14
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 3 2 10 -11 11
15 St Truiden 16 2 4 10 -10 10
16 Westerlo 16 2 4 10 -21 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende Genk
1–0 F. Berrier
K. Musona
19′
Michiel Jonckheere 🟨
22′
2–0 A. Milić
F. Berrier
29′
36′
🟨 Leon Bailey
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 T. Sušić
↦ B. Heynen
53′
🟨 Jakub Brabec
55′
🟨 Wilfred Ndidi
3–0 K. Musona
F. Berrier
56′
67′
🔁 L. Trossard
↦ T. Buffel
69′
🟨 Leon Bailey
69′
🟥 Leon Bailey
Y. El Ghanassy 🔁
↦ K. Musona
70′
4–0 L. Dimata
Y. El Ghanassy
71′
B. Godeau 🔁
↦ A. Marušić
75′
78′
🔁 B. Kumordzi
↦ Pozuelo
Z. Cyriac 🔁
↦ M. Jonckheere
82′
5–0 Z. Cyriac
83′
6–0 L. Dimata
Y. El Ghanassy
86′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Oostende

4-3-3
12 D. Ovono G
18 D. Rozehnal D
44 A. Milić D
7 S. Siani F
10 F. Berrier M
20 M. Jonckheere M
26 K. Vandendriessche D
55 Fernando Canesin F
77 A. Marušić M
11 K. Musona F
19 L. Dimata F
Bench (7)
8 Y. El Ghanassy
31 B. Godeau
9 Z. Cyriac
15 A. Jali
17 J. Akpala
22 I. Conté
30 J. Chopin

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Genk

4-2-3-1
1 M. Bizot G
2 J. Brabec D
4 O. Colley D
41 T. Castagne D
25 O. Ndidi M
15 D. Wouters D
19 T. Buffel F
24 Pozuelo M
28 B. Heynen M
77 M. Samatta F
31 L. Bailey F
Bench (7)
10 T. Sušić
14 L. Trossard
8 B. Kumordzi
5 S. Walsh
6 S. Dewaest
7 N. Karelis
30 N. Jackers

Coach: P. Maes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bart Vertenten · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.