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Pro League
Standard
S T S U T
4–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 34%
41%
26%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
63%
59%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Standard 7. · Royal Excel Mouscron 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 24 18 1 5 +37 55
2 Gent 24 14 7 3 +24 49
3 Anderlecht 24 14 7 3 +17 49
4 Genk 22 13 3 6 +16 42
5 Oostende 24 11 6 7 +7 39
6 Mechelen 27 10 6 11 -3 36
7 Standard 27 11 3 13 -14 36
8 Waregem 24 9 6 9 +5 33
9 Charleroi 23 8 6 9 -1 30
10 Kortrijk 25 7 9 9 -6 30
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 27 7 9 11 -7 30
12 Lokeren 27 8 6 13 -7 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 27 8 3 16 -15 27
16 Beveren 27 7 5 15 -18 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Royal Excel Mouscron
6′
F. Marković 0–1
N. Gulan
1–1 F. Miya
31′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 G. Maniatis
51′
57′
🔁 J. Michel
↦ V. Viola
E. Enoh 🔁
↦ F. Miya
60′
C. Fiore 🔁
↦ R. Goreux
67′
3–1 Boschilia
73′
74′
🔁 J. Castelletto
↦ D. Mohamed
Rochinha 🔁
↦ A. Achaoui
76′
4–1 B. Tetteh
77′
84′
🔁 Frederic Maciel
↦ M. Šćepović
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Standard

28 G. Hubert
2 R. Goreux
33 M. Kosanović
36 D. Arslanagic
35 A. Achaoui
7 G. Maniatis
17 M. Dossevi
22 Edmilson Junior
8 Boschilia
15 F. Miya
11 B. Tetteh
Bench (7)
21 E. Enoh
24 C. Fiore
25 Rochinha
12 B. Badibanga
16 Y. Thuram
77 J. Okita
97 R. Mmaee

Royal Excel Mouscron

1 Vagner
24 N. Gulan
3 N. Dussenne
6 T. Mézague
23 M. Tirpan
55 C. Manea
5 D. Hubert
11 D. Mohamed
44 M. Šćepović
18 F. Marković
16 V. Viola
Bench (6)
10 J. Michel
15 J. Castelletto
27 Frederic Maciel
12 T. Rausin
21 S. Amallah
98 F. Olinga

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.