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Premier League

Referee: Mark Clattenburg

Arsenal

S S S U S

1–1

Full-time

Tottenham

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Tottenham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,7

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,7

This season — Premier League · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 60%

70%

50%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

70%

20%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

3,3

1,9

Scored

2,3

1,4

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

15 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 2

7 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arsenal 3. · Tottenham 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	11	8	1	2	+17	25
2	Man City	11	7	3	1	+15	24
3	Arsenal	10	7	2	1	+13	23
4	Liverpool	10	7	2	1	+11	23
5	Tottenham	10	5	5	0	+9	20
6	Everton	11	5	3	3	+2	18
7	Watford	10	4	3	3	+1	15
8	Man United	10	4	3	3	+1	15
9	Burnley	11	4	2	5	-4	14
10	Southampton	10	3	4	3	+1	13
11	Stoke	11	3	4	4	-5	13
12	Bournemouth	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Leicester	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Middlesbrough	11	2	5	4	-2	11
15	Crystal Palace	11	3	2	6	-3	11
16	West Ham	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	West Brom	10	2	4	4	-4	10
18	Hull	10	2	1	7	-15	7
19	Swansea	10	1	2	7	-9	5
20	Sunderland	11	1	2	8	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	6	5	0	1	+15	15
2	Burnley	7	4	1	2	+4	13
3	Man City	6	3	3	0	+7	12
4	Leicester	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	Everton	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	Tottenham	5	3	2	0	+4	11
7	Liverpool	4	3	1	0	+8	10
8	Arsenal	5	3	1	1	+4	10
9	Bournemouth	6	3	1	2	+4	10
10	Man United	5	2	2	1	+4	8
11	Southampton	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	West Ham	6	2	2	2	-3	8
13	Watford	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Stoke	5	2	1	2	-3	7
15	West Brom	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	-1	4
17	Middlesbrough	5	1	1	3	-1	4
18	Hull	5	1	0	4	-7	3
19	Swansea	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	Sunderland	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Liverpool	6	4	1	1	+3	13
3	Man City	5	4	0	1	+8	12
4	Chelsea	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Tottenham	5	2	3	0	+5	9
6	Watford	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Middlesbrough	6	1	4	1	-1	7
8	Crystal Palace	6	2	1	3	-2	7
9	Everton	6	2	1	3	-3	7
10	Man United	5	2	1	2	-3	7
11	Stoke	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Southampton	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	West Brom	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Sunderland	6	1	1	4	-4	4
15	Hull	5	1	1	3	-8	4
16	Swansea	5	1	0	4	-4	3
17	West Ham	5	1	0	4	-6	3
18	Bournemouth	5	0	2	3	-7	2
19	Burnley	4	0	1	3	-8	1
20	Leicester	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.