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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Brann
S U T S S
2–1
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 47%
52%
41%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
41%
48%
Both score Ø 38%
41%
34%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 1
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brann 2. · Sarpsborg 08 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 29 20 6 3 +39 66
2 Brann 29 15 6 8 +14 51
3 Odd 29 15 6 8 +11 51
4 Molde 29 13 6 10 +7 45
5 Haugesund 29 12 9 8 +4 45
6 Sarpsborg 08 29 12 9 8 -1 45
7 Stromsgodset 29 12 7 10 +4 43
8 Viking 29 12 7 10 +0 43
9 Aalesund 29 11 6 12 -7 39
10 Sogndal 29 8 12 9 -2 36
11 Valerenga 29 9 8 12 +0 35
12 Lillestrom 29 7 10 12 -6 31
13 Tromso 29 8 7 14 -12 31
14 Bodo/Glimt 29 8 6 15 -8 30
15 Stabaek 29 7 7 15 -10 28
16 Start 29 2 10 17 -33 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Jul -16 Sarpsborg 08 – Brann 1–0

Match report

Brann Sarpsborg 08
1–0 J. Orlov
E. Huseklepp
18′
Azar Karadas 🟨
41′
2–0 G. Sørensen
43′
Half-time 2–0
58′
🔁 J. Tveita
↦ P. Kirkevold
65′
🔁 T. Hovda
↦ S. Ernemann
D. Vega 🔁
↦ E. Huseklepp
71′
Vadim Demidov 🟨
73′
79′
🔁 O. Ugwuadu
↦ J. Lindberg
S. Skålevik 🔁
↦ J. Orlov
80′
H. Stenevik 🔁
↦ K. Barmen
82′
Fredrik Haugen 🟨
90′
92′
P. Mortensen 2–1
T. Hovda
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
24 P. Leciejewski
33 A. Nouri D
6 V. Demidov D
21 R. Kristiansen D
17 G. Sørensen F
8 F. Haugen M
23 S. Nilsen M
29 K. Barmen M
13 E. Huseklepp M
18 A. Karadas F
10 J. Orlov F
Bench (7)
19 D. Vega
11 S. Skålevik
35 H. Stenevik
1 A. Horwath
9 K. Skaanes
16 R. Johansen
22 T. Børven

Coach: L. Nilsen

Sarpsborg 08

4-3-3
21 A. Kristiansen
16 J. Thomassen D
20 A. Østli D
29 A. Groven D
15 S. Rosted D
5 M. Lund Nielsen M
10 J. Lindberg F
17 S. Ernemann M
6 A. Trondsen M
69 P. Mortensen F
7 P. Kirkevold F
Bench (7)
22 J. Tveita
18 T. Hovda
8 O. Ugwuadu
1 A. Østbø
3 H. Toivomaki
4 M. Sundli
13 O. Hansen

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.