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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni

Palermo

U T T T T

1–2

Full-time

Milan

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,3

This season — Serie A · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 37%

64%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

45%

Both score Ø 50%

64%

36%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

23 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 19. · Milan 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	9	0	2	+15	27
2	Roma	11	7	2	2	+14	23
3	Lazio	12	6	4	2	+10	22
4	Milan	11	7	1	3	+3	22
5	Napoli	12	6	3	3	+8	21
6	Torino	12	5	4	3	+11	19
7	Atalanta	11	6	1	4	+3	19
8	Fiorentina	10	4	4	2	+3	16
9	Cagliari	12	5	1	6	-9	16
10	Genoa	10	4	3	3	+2	15
11	Chievo	11	4	3	4	-1	15
12	Inter	11	4	2	5	-1	14
13	Udinese	11	4	2	5	-3	14
14	Sampdoria	11	4	2	5	-4	14
15	Bologna	11	3	4	4	-4	13
16	Sassuolo	11	4	1	6	-5	13
17	Empoli	12	2	4	6	-7	10
18	Pescara	12	1	4	7	-11	7
19	Palermo	11	1	3	7	-13	6
20	Crotone	11	1	2	8	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	6	6	0	0	+12	18
2	Roma	5	5	0	0	+13	15
3	Milan	6	5	0	1	+5	15
4	Torino	6	4	2	0	+11	14
5	Lazio	6	4	1	1	+8	13
6	Napoli	6	4	1	1	+6	13
7	Cagliari	6	4	1	1	+4	13
8	Atalanta	6	4	0	2	+4	12
9	Sampdoria	5	3	1	1	+2	10
10	Bologna	6	3	1	2	+2	10
11	Genoa	5	2	3	0	+5	9
12	Fiorentina	5	2	3	0	+2	9
13	Sassuolo	5	3	0	2	-1	9
14	Inter	5	2	2	1	+1	8
15	Chievo	5	2	2	1	+1	8
16	Udinese	6	2	2	2	+0	8
17	Empoli	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Crotone	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Pescara	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Palermo	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	5	3	0	2	+3	9
2	Lazio	6	2	3	1	+2	9
3	Napoli	6	2	2	2	+2	8
4	Roma	6	2	2	2	+1	8
5	Fiorentina	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Atalanta	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Milan	5	2	1	2	-2	7
8	Chievo	6	2	1	3	-2	7
9	Inter	6	2	0	4	-2	6
10	Palermo	6	1	3	2	-3	6
11	Udinese	5	2	0	3	-3	6
12	Genoa	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	Torino	6	1	2	3	+0	5
14	Empoli	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Pescara	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Sassuolo	6	1	1	4	-4	4
17	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	3	2	-6	3
19	Cagliari	6	1	0	5	-13	3
20	Crotone	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.