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Pro League
2–0
Full-time
Standard
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 33%
23%
42%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
62%
65%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 14. · Standard 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 23 18 1 4 +39 55
2 Gent 23 14 6 3 +24 48
3 Anderlecht 23 14 6 3 +17 48
4 Genk 21 12 3 6 +14 39
5 Oostende 23 11 5 7 +7 38
6 Mechelen 27 10 6 11 -3 36
7 Standard 26 11 3 12 -12 36
8 Waregem 23 9 5 9 +5 32
9 Charleroi 23 8 6 9 -1 30
10 Kortrijk 25 7 9 9 -6 30
11 Lokeren 27 8 6 13 -7 30
12 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 26 6 9 11 -9 27
15 St Truiden 27 8 3 16 -15 27
16 Beveren 27 7 5 15 -18 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Standard
1–0 D. Hubert
7′
Half-time 1–0
M. Šćepović 🔁
↦ E. Coulibaly
46′
46′
🔁 J. Dompé
↦ B. Badibanga
2–0 M. Šćepović
M. Tirpan
56′
63′
🔁 E. Enoh
↦ I. Santini
72′
🔁 B. Tetteh
↦ R. Mmaee
F. Olinga 🔁
↦ T. Dingome
75′
J. Michel 🔁
↦ F. Marković
84′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

86 Vagner
25 M. Oussalah
3 N. Dussenne
6 T. Mézague
23 M. Tirpan
55 C. Manea
5 D. Hubert
19 T. Dingome
11 D. Mohamed
17 E. Coulibaly
18 F. Marković
Bench (7)
44 M. Šćepović
98 F. Olinga
10 J. Michel
13 N. Aksentijević
16 V. Viola
21 S. Amallah
33 T. Defourmy

Standard

16 Y. Thuram
2 R. Goreux
33 M. Kosanović
36 D. Arslanagic
24 C. Fiore
32 C. Fai
8 Boschilia
12 B. Badibanga
18 I. Santini
77 J. Okita
97 R. Mmaee
Bench (7)
10 J. Dompé
21 E. Enoh
11 B. Tetteh
9 R. Emond
25 Rochinha
28 G. Hubert
44 M. Remacle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.