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Pro League
2–3
Full-time
Kortrijk
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 29/27 matches
Win Ø 29%
24%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
59%
41%
Both score Ø 48%
55%
41%
Average goals
2,8
2,1
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 12. · Kortrijk 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 26 20 1 5 +44 61
2 Gent 26 15 7 4 +23 52
3 Anderlecht 26 15 7 4 +17 52
4 Genk 25 14 3 8 +15 45
5 Oostende 26 13 6 7 +10 45
6 Standard 29 12 3 14 -12 39
7 Mechelen 29 10 7 12 -7 37
8 Kortrijk 27 9 9 9 +0 36
9 Charleroi 25 9 7 9 +3 34
10 Waregem 27 9 6 12 -3 33
11 Lokeren 29 8 8 13 -7 32
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 29 7 9 13 -11 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 29 8 5 16 -15 29
16 Beveren 29 8 5 16 -22 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Kortrijk
1–0 J. Michel
4′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Marušić
↦ S. Sarr
52′
H. Kage 1–1
F. Boyer
B. Van Durmen 🔁
↦ M. Oussalah
62′
71′
🔁 S. De Smet
↦ A. Papazoglou
73′
H. Kage 1–2
L. Vaccaro 🔁
↦ M. Šćepović
74′
2–2 J. Michel
F. Olinga
83′
M. Neves 🔁
↦ J. Michel
86′
86′
🔁 K. D'Haene
↦ X. Mercier
88′
S. De Smet 2–3
K. D'Haene
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

33 T. Defourmy
25 M. Oussalah
3 N. Dussenne
6 T. Mézague
15 J. Castelletto
55 C. Manea
5 D. Hubert
10 J. Michel
44 M. Šćepović
18 F. Marković
98 F. Olinga
Bench (7)
90 B. Van Durmen
26 L. Vaccaro
7 M. Neves
17 E. Coulibaly
23 M. Tirpan
27 Frederic Maciel
86 Vagner

Kortrijk

13 M. Sifakis
31 A. Van Loo
2 M. Chanot
3 F. Boyer
8 N. Pavlović
10 H. Kage
25 X. Mercier
26 E. Rolland
5 B. Verstraete
88 S. Sarr
9 A. Papazoglou
Bench (7)
11 A. Marušić
7 S. De Smet
30 K. D'Haene
12 L. Van Eenoo
16 D. Keet
20 S. Gigot
44 T. Kiš

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.