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Pro League
2–2
Full-time
Oostende
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 62%
40%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
80%
67%
Both score Ø 82%
80%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 62%
40%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
80%
67%
Both score Ø 82%
80%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 11. · Oostende 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 6 5 1 0 +9 16
2 Club Brugge 7 4 1 2 +12 13
3 Anderlecht 5 4 1 0 +7 13
4 St Truiden 7 4 1 2 +6 13
5 Gent 6 3 3 0 +6 12
6 Waregem 5 3 0 2 +3 9
7 Genk 4 3 0 1 +3 9
8 Mechelen 7 2 2 3 -4 8
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8 2 1 5 -4 7
10 Charleroi 5 1 3 1 -1 6
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 5 2 0 3 -3 6
12 Westerlo 9 1 3 5 -9 6
13 Beveren 6 2 0 4 -9 6
14 Lokeren 6 1 1 4 -4 4
15 Kortrijk 5 0 3 2 -2 3
16 Standard 5 1 0 4 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Oostende
1–0 N. Dussenne
5′
N. Aksentijević 🔁
↦ T. Peyre
28′
41′
N. Dussenne 2–0
own goal
Half-time 3–0
3–0 M. Šćepović
51′
65′
🔁 K. Musona
↦ J. Akpala
65′
🔁 A. Jali
↦ K. Vandendriessche
65′
🔁 M. Jonckheere
↦ Fernando Canesin
68′
Z. Cyriac 3–1
T. Dingome 🔁
↦ J. Michel
75′
L. Vaccaro 🔁
↦ D. Hubert
82′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

86 Vagner
25 M. Oussalah
24 N. Gulan
3 N. Dussenne
6 T. Mézague
29 T. Peyre
5 D. Hubert
10 J. Michel
8 F. Marquet
44 M. Šćepović
18 F. Marković
Bench (7)
13 N. Aksentijević
19 T. Dingome
26 L. Vaccaro
9 A. Badri
12 T. Rausin
27 Frederic Maciel
90 Tozé Marreco

Oostende

1 D. Ovono
14 D. Rozehnal
44 A. Milić
5 J. Lukaku
7 S. Siani
10 F. Berrier
26 K. Vandendriessche
55 Fernando Canesin
17 J. Akpala
9 Z. Cyriac
27 B. Capon
Bench (7)
11 K. Musona
15 A. Jali
20 M. Jonckheere
4 F. Antunes
13 F. Brillant
25 W. Biebauw
90 Y. Loemba

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.