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Pro League
Oostende
U S S S U
2–0
Full-time
Lokeren
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
2,2
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
71%
14%
Points per game
2,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
71%
43%
Both score Ø 65%
86%
43%
Average goals
3,3
1,9
Scored
2,3
0,6
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Oostende 1. · Lokeren 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 7 5 2 0 +9 17
2 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +13 16
3 Anderlecht 6 5 1 0 +8 16
4 St Truiden 8 4 1 3 +5 13
5 Gent 6 3 3 0 +6 12
6 Waregem 5 3 0 2 +3 9
7 Genk 5 3 0 2 +2 9
8 Mechelen 7 2 2 3 -4 8
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 2 2 5 -4 8
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 6 2 1 3 -3 7
11 Charleroi 5 1 3 1 -1 6
12 Kortrijk 6 1 3 2 -1 6
13 Westerlo 9 1 3 5 -9 6
14 Beveren 6 2 0 4 -9 6
15 Lokeren 7 1 1 5 -5 4
16 Standard 6 1 1 4 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende Lokeren
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Z. Cyriac
K. Musona
46′
59′
🔁 S. Bolbat
↦ A. Patosi
75′
🔁 C. Dessers
↦ K. Persoons
J. Akpala 🔁
↦ Z. Cyriac
78′
81′
🔁 M. Mirić
↦ E. Ansah
F. Brillant 🔁
↦ F. Berrier
86′
Fernando Canesin 🔁
↦ K. Musona
90′
2–0 Fernando Canesin
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Oostende

1 D. Ovono
14 D. Rozehnal
44 A. Milić
5 J. Lukaku
7 S. Siani
10 F. Berrier
15 A. Jali
20 M. Jonckheere
9 Z. Cyriac
27 B. Capon
11 K. Musona
Bench (7)
17 J. Akpala
13 F. Brillant
55 Fernando Canesin
4 F. Antunes
25 W. Biebauw
26 K. Vandendriessche
90 Y. Loemba

Lokeren

13 D. Verhulst
4 M. Marić
19 M. Tičinović
3 D. Odoi
25 B. Ňinaj
8 K. Persoons
7 K. Overmeire
28 E. Ngolok
9 B. Abdurahimi
10 A. Patosi
23 E. Ansah
Bench (7)
50 S. Bolbat
17 C. Dessers
21 M. Mirić
15 S. Ingason
22 D. Melnjak
34 F. Starzyński
39 B. Geens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.