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Ligue 1
Referee: Stephane Jochem
Angers
S U S
1–1
Full-time
Nice
T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,3
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,3
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
5 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 4. · Nice 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Bastia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Lyon 4 2 1 1 +4 7
4 Angers 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Nantes 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Rennes 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Reims 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Caen 4 2 0 2 -3 6
9 Monaco 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Nice 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Toulouse 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 St Etienne 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Marseille 4 1 0 3 +2 3
14 Guingamp 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Bordeaux 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Lorient 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Lille 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Troyes 3 0 2 1 -6 2
19 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Montpellier 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Nice
22′
🟨 Valère Germain
1–0 T. Mangani
24′
40′
🟨 Olivier Boscagli
Half-time 1–0
Yoann Andreu 🟨
55′
56′
V. Germain 1–1
H. Ben Arfa
F. Doré 🔁
↦ V. Ketkeophomphone
61′
G. Karanović 🔁
↦ G. Sunu
73′
81′
🔁 Wallyson Mallmann
↦ V. Koziello
Férébory Doré 🟨
87′
P. Capelle 🔁
↦ T. Mangani
87′
94′
🔁 P. Puel
↦ A. Pléa
94′
🔁 A. Mendy
↦ V. Germain
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Angers

1 L. Butelle G
24 R. Thomas D
21 Y. Andreu D
26 G. N'Gosso M
5 T. Mangani M
29 V. Manceau D
9 Abdoul Camara M
17 C. N'Doye M
28 R. Saïss M
10 G. Sunu F
14 V. Ketkeophomphone F
Bench (7)
27 F. Doré
22 G. Karanović
15 P. Capelle
2 G. Angoula
11 S. Sissoko
20 C. Diers
30 A. Letellier

Nice

1 M. Hassen G
4 P. Baysse D
35 J. Correia Da Fonseca M
33 O. Boscagli D
9 H. Ben Arfa F
22 N. Mendy M
6 J. Seri M
26 V. Koziello M
29 J. Pied D
28 V. Germain F
14 A. Pléa F
Bench (7)
19 Wallyson Mallmann
34 P. Puel
15 A. Mendy
11 S. Benrahma
12 A. Rafetraniaina
5 K. Gomis
30 Y. Cardinale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Stephane Jochem · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.