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Ligue 1
Referee: Wilfried Bien
Troyes
U U T
0–0
Full-time
Montpellier
T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
3,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
3,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Troyes 18. · Montpellier 20. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Bastia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Lyon 4 2 1 1 +4 7
4 Angers 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Nantes 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Rennes 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Reims 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Caen 4 2 0 2 -3 6
9 Monaco 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Nice 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Toulouse 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 St Etienne 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Marseille 4 1 0 3 +2 3
14 Guingamp 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Bordeaux 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Lorient 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Lille 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Troyes 3 0 2 1 -6 2
19 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Montpellier 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Montpellier
Half-time 0–0
Y. Court 🔁
↦ B. Perea
46′
Matthieu Saunier 🟨
56′
60′
🔁 D. Bakar
↦ R. Boudebouz
F. Camus 🔁
↦ S. Darbion
65′
71′
🔁 Q. Cornette
↦ S. Camara
Jonathan Martins Pereira 🟨
79′
J. Cabot 🔁
↦ C. Jean
83′
85′
🔁 M. Deplagne
↦ J. Roussillon
86′
🟨 Joris Marveaux
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Troyes

30 D. Petric
6 J. Martins-Pereira D
5 M. Saunier D
3 C. Mavinga D
10 B. Nivet M
8 S. Darbion M
24 L. Karaboué M
29 Q. Othon M
25 J. Pi M
13 B. Perea F
27 C. Jean F
Bench (7)
7 Y. Court
23 F. Camus
21 J. Cabot
14 Thiago Xavier
12 H. Bienvenu
11 Rincón
1 M. Dreyer

Montpellier

30 J. Ligali G
4 Hilton D
21 W. Rémy D
24 J. Roussillon D
6 J. Marveaux M
10 R. Boudebouz M
17 P. Lasne M
14 B. Dabo M
8 J. Martin M
19 S. Camara F
26 K. Bérigaud F
Bench (7)
28 D. Bakar
31 Q. Cornette
25 M. Deplagne
33 A. Ribelin
1 L. Pionnier
15 R. Bensebaini
3 D. Congré

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Wilfried Bien · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
0,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.