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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Oliveira

Maritimo

T T S T T

2–0

Full-time

Tondela

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Tondela

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,8

1,7

Scored

0,3

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,6

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 10%

20%

Both score Ø 20%

40%

Average goals

1,6

Scored

0,2

0,4

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%

11 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 22

0 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Maritimo 17. · Tondela 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Sp Lisbon	6	5	0	1	+7	15
3	Porto	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Sp Braga	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Rio Ave	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Chaves	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	Feirense	6	3	0	3	-3	9
8	Vitoria Setubal	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Belenenses	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Guimaraes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Nacional	6	2	0	4	-1	6
12	Pacos Ferreira	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	Boavista	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Moreirense	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Estoril	6	1	1	4	-5	4
16	Arouca	5	1	0	4	-4	3
17	Maritimo	5	1	0	4	-6	3
18	Tondela	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Rio Ave	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Vitoria Setubal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Boavista	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Arouca	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Nacional	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Estoril	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Feirense	3	1	0	2	-5	3
14	Chaves	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Chaves	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Feirense	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Porto	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Rio Ave	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Nacional	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Moreirense	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Estoril	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Boavista	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Arouca	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.