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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Manuel Gomes Costa

Pacos Ferreira

U U S S T

0–2

Full-time

Tondela

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Tondela

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 27%

24%

29%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

57%

48%

Both score Ø 57%

62%

52%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

69% Possession 31%

13 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 7

0 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 13. · Tondela 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	20	16	4	0	+39	52
2	Benfica	21	15	5	1	+38	50
3	Sp Lisbon	21	15	5	1	+30	50
4	Sp Braga	21	14	1	6	+18	43
5	Rio Ave	21	10	3	8	+2	33
6	Chaves	21	8	6	7	-3	30
7	Guimaraes	21	9	2	10	-7	29
8	Maritimo	21	8	5	8	-7	29
9	Boavista	21	8	3	10	-6	27
10	Portimonense	21	6	6	9	-1	24
11	Tondela	21	6	4	11	-10	22
12	Belenenses	21	5	6	10	-12	21
13	Pacos Ferreira	21	5	6	10	-13	21
14	Feirense	21	6	2	13	-9	20
15	Moreirense	21	4	7	10	-14	19
16	Vitoria Setubal	21	3	9	9	-13	18
17	Estoril	20	5	3	12	-18	18
18	Aves	21	4	5	12	-14	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	11	10	1	0	+27	31
2	Sp Lisbon	11	9	2	0	+20	29
3	Benfica	10	9	1	0	+26	28
4	Sp Braga	11	9	0	2	+18	27
5	Maritimo	11	6	3	2	+3	21
6	Rio Ave	10	6	1	3	+6	19
7	Guimaraes	10	6	1	3	-1	19
8	Boavista	10	6	0	4	-1	18
9	Portimonense	10	5	2	3	+7	17
10	Belenenses	10	4	4	2	+4	16
11	Pacos Ferreira	10	4	4	2	+2	16
12	Chaves	10	3	5	2	+3	14
13	Vitoria Setubal	11	3	5	3	+0	14
14	Estoril	10	4	1	5	-2	13
15	Feirense	11	4	1	6	-4	13
16	Tondela	11	3	2	6	-5	11
17	Moreirense	10	1	6	3	-5	9
18	Aves	11	2	2	7	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	11	6	4	1	+12	22
2	Porto	9	6	3	0	+12	21
3	Sp Lisbon	10	6	3	1	+10	21
4	Sp Braga	10	5	1	4	+0	16
5	Chaves	11	5	1	5	-6	16
6	Rio Ave	11	4	2	5	-4	14
7	Tondela	10	3	2	5	-5	11
8	Guimaraes	11	3	1	7	-6	10
9	Moreirense	11	3	1	7	-9	10
10	Boavista	11	2	3	6	-5	9
11	Aves	10	2	3	5	-6	9
12	Maritimo	10	2	2	6	-10	8
13	Feirense	10	2	1	7	-5	7
14	Portimonense	11	1	4	6	-8	7
15	Pacos Ferreira	11	1	2	8	-15	5
16	Estoril	10	1	2	7	-16	5
17	Belenenses	11	1	2	8	-16	5
18	Vitoria Setubal	10	0	4	6	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.